CSUF economists forecast ‘growthflation,’ generational wealth divide and stalled job growth
Published . Updated .
Cal State Fullerton and the Orange County Business Council hosted the 32nd annual Economic Forecast conference in Irvine last week. A new CSUF economic forecast finds the U.S. economy remains strong despite negative public sentiment, with AI investment and consumer spending
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF
SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds retailers. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.
- XLY Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR+2.3% 18d
Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR: it holds retailers. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.
- QQQ Invesco QQQ+1.7% 18d
Invesco QQQ: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- WMT Walmart+11.0% 30d
Walmart (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.
- AMZN Amazon.com+2.9% 30d
Amazon.com (catalog and mail-order houses): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.
- COST Costco Wholesale+11.0% 30d
Costco Wholesale (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.
- TGT Target-6.7% 30d
Target (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.
- MSFT Microsoft+8.4% 30d
Microsoft (prepackaged software): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XLYNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| QQQ | -2.90% | -1.86% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| WMTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AMZNNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| COSTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TGTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| MSFTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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CSUF economists forecast ‘growthflation,’ generational wealth divide and stalled job growth CSUF News
Source: CSUF News
This story
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQQ | three days earlier | -1.86% | final price |
| QQQ | five days earlier | -2.90% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Jonathan Jackson sold Walmart (WMT) (jointly held), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 19 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 34 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a dependent child), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 11 Sep 2026. That is 48 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Amazon Com (AMZN) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Aug 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Amazon Com (AMZN) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 63 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Amazon Com (AMZN), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 64 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 34 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Richard W. Allen sold Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 18 Sep 2026. That is 41 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 11 Sep 2026. That is 48 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Target (TGT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 55 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Lisa McClain bought Microsoft (MSFT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 30 Sep 2026. That is 29 days before publication. Filed 12 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael Rulli sold Microsoft (MSFT), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 2 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
This story
12 out of 100
“CSUF economists forecast ‘growthflation,’ generational wealth divide and stalled job growth” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.