Geopolitics Alpha

Declining oil prices weighed on the Canadian dollar, keeping the USD/CAD pair range-bound at lower levels.

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: USO, XLE, BWET, EWC, XOM
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

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ENERGYDeclining oil prices weighed onthe Canadian dollar, keeping theUSD/CAD pair range-bound at lower…GEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and tanker shipping. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • EWC iShares MSCI Canada ETF+0.3% 30d

    iShares MSCI Canada ETF holds stocks listed in Canada, which this story is about (“canadian”).

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+10.6% 15d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+15.7% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+4.8% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell-2.5% 12d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+4.37%+7.30%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE+1.44%+2.16%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWET-1.54%+2.86%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
EWC+0.39%+1.16%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XOM+0.06%+1.89%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX+0.19%+1.58%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
COP+0.74%+2.12%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
SHEL-0.17%+2.59%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Declining oil prices weighed on the Canadian dollar, keeping the USD/CAD pair range-bound at lower levels. Moomoo

Source: Moomoo

How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 3 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+2.86%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier+2.12%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier+0.74%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+1.58%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+0.19%final price
Ishares Msci Canada Etf (EWC)three days earlier+1.16%final price
Ishares Msci Canada Etf (EWC)five days earlier+0.39%final price
Shell (SHEL)three days earlier+2.59%final price
Shell (SHEL)five days earlier-0.17%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+7.30%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+4.37%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+2.16%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+1.44%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+1.89%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+0.06%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who collects and who pays in energy

Likely winners

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Declining oil prices weighed on the Canadian dollar, keeping the USD/CAD pair range-bound at lower levels..” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    In “Declining oil prices weighed on the Canadian dollar, keeping the USD/CAD pair range-bound at lower levels.,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Declining oil prices weighed on the Canadian dollar, keeping the USD/CAD pair range-bound at lower levels.,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Declining oil prices weighed on the Canadian dollar, keeping the USD/CAD pair range-bound at lower levels.,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    For “Declining oil prices weighed on the Canadian dollar, keeping the USD/CAD pair range-bound at lower levels.,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • EWC Ishares Msci Canada Etf

    Ishares Msci Canada Etf (EWC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Declining oil prices weighed on the Canadian dollar, keeping the USD/CAD pair range-bound at lower levels..” Reason on file: iShares MSCI Canada ETF holds stocks listed in Canada, which this story is about (“canadian”)

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “Declining oil prices weighed on the Canadian dollar, keeping the USD/CAD pair range-bound at lower levels.,” the 3 Nov 2026 Energy story.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.83. XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00.

How solid the energy case looks

46 out of 100

“Declining oil prices weighed on the Canadian dollar, keeping the USD/CAD pair range-bound at lower levels.” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.