Geopolitics Alpha

Defense Spending as a Share of GDP in Fou GIUK Gap Allies, 2014-2025

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Defense Spending as a Share of GDP in Fou GIUK Gap Allies, 2014-2025

Figure: Denmark and Norway more than doubled spending shares after 2022, yet aircraft lag.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF-3.2% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “defense” (defense) in this story.

  • XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF-7.5% 30d

    SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “defense” (defense) in this story.

  • VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF

    Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“norway”).

  • RTX Rtx+1.1% 7d

    Rtx (aircraft engines and engine parts): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “defense” (defense) in this story.

  • LMT Lockheed Martin+19.1% 30d

    Lockheed Martin (guided missiles and space vehicles and parts): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “defense” (defense) in this story.

  • NOC Northrop Grumman+7.8% 30d

    Northrop Grumman (search, detection, navigation, guidance, aeronautical sys): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “defense” (defense) in this story.

  • GD General Dynamics-0.4% 30d

    General Dynamics (ship and boat building and repairing): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “defense” (defense) in this story.

  • GE GE Aerospace-6.1% 30d

    GE Aerospace (electronic and other electrical equipment (no computer equip)): aircraft makers and suppliers move with orders and air travel. Linked by “aircraft” (aerospace) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
ITA-0.49%-1.27%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XAR-0.64%-2.29%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
VGKNo price data for this ticker———————
RTX-2.10%-1.45%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
LMT-13.64%-7.12%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
NOC-5.58%-2.36%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
GD-3.56%-1.75%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
GENo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Defense Spending as a Share of GDP in Fou GIUK Gap Allies, 2014-2025 economy.ac

Source: https://economy.ac/

The price since 27 Oct 2026: IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
General Dynamics (GD)three days earlier-1.75%final price
General Dynamics (GD)five days earlier-3.56%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-1.27%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier-0.49%final price
Lockheed Martin (LMT)three days earlier-7.12%final price
Lockheed Martin (LMT)five days earlier-13.64%final price
Northrop Grumman (NOC)three days earlier-2.36%final price
Northrop Grumman (NOC)five days earlier-5.58%final price
Rtx (RTX)three days earlier-1.45%final price
Rtx (RTX)five days earlier-2.10%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XAR)three days earlier-2.29%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XAR)five days earlier-0.64%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    In “Defense Spending as a Share of GDP in Fou GIUK Gap Allies, 2014-2025,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “defense” (defense) in this story

  • XAR Spdr Series Trust

    In “Defense Spending as a Share of GDP in Fou GIUK Gap Allies, 2014-2025,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “defense” (defense) in this story

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    For “Defense Spending as a Share of GDP in Fou GIUK Gap Allies, 2014-2025,” Lockheed Martin (LMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Lockheed Martin (guided missiles and space vehicles and parts): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “defense” (defense) in this story

  • RTX Rtx

    For “Defense Spending as a Share of GDP in Fou GIUK Gap Allies, 2014-2025,” Rtx (RTX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Rtx (aircraft engines and engine parts): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “defense” (defense) in this story

  • NOC Northrop Grumman

    Northrop Grumman (NOC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 27 Oct 2026 story “Defense Spending as a Share of GDP in Fou GIUK Gap Allies, 2014-2025.” Reason on file: Northrop Grumman (search, detection, navigation, guidance, aeronautical sys): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “defense” (defense) in this story

  • GD General Dynamics

    In “Defense Spending as a Share of GDP in Fou GIUK Gap Allies, 2014-2025,” General Dynamics (GD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: General Dynamics (ship and boat building and repairing): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “defense” (defense) in this story

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

On 27 Oct 2026, “Defense Spending as a Share of GDP in Fou GIUK Gap Allies, 2014-2025” is the story that connects IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) to this story.

What ties IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) to the headline is this: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “defense” (defense) in this story

Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is here too. Its reason reads: SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “defense” (defense) in this story

Price levels for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

ITA traded between 197.59 and 211.71 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 207.10. LMT traded between 497.32 and 636.49 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 635.37. XAR traded between 210.89 and 236.69 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 223.45.

A simple score for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

46 out of 100

“Defense Spending as a Share of GDP in Fou GIUK Gap Allies, 2014-2025” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.