Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised) – Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities
Published . Updated .
Key takeaways
Market Call
Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.
Get these market calls by email
The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.
Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.
AI-generated image. Perchance.org By David Enna, Tipswatch.com Although 2026 could be an exception if fuel prices resume soaring, it is likely we will see at least one month of deflation — me…
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.4% 30d
iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- XLP Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR-1.1% 11d
Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “fuel prices” (oil) in this story.
- QQQ Invesco QQQ-9.8% 30d
Invesco QQQ: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- WMT Walmart+20.2% 30d
Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- COST Costco Wholesale+14.1% 30d
Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- PG The Procter & Gamble+11.5% 30d
The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- KO The Coca-Cola+9.7% 30d
The Coca-Cola (beverages): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIP | +0.09% | -0.20% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLP | +0.84% | +2.08% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| USONo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| QQQNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WMT | +1.78% | +2.99% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| COST | -1.21% | -0.66% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| PG | -1.07% | +1.20% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| KO | +0.20% | +0.21% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised) – Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities tipswatch.com
Source: https://tipswatch.com/
How far Ishares Tr (TIP) has moved since 8 Nov 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Costco Wholesale (COST) | three days earlier | -0.66% | final price |
| Costco Wholesale (COST) | five days earlier | -1.21% | final price |
| Coca Cola (KO) | three days earlier | +0.21% | final price |
| Coca Cola (KO) | five days earlier | +0.20% | final price |
| Procter & Gamble (PG) | three days earlier | +1.20% | final price |
| Procter & Gamble (PG) | five days earlier | -1.07% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | three days earlier | -0.20% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | five days earlier | +0.09% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | three days earlier | +2.99% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | five days earlier | +1.78% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) | three days earlier | +2.08% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) | five days earlier | +0.84% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 37 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Jonathan Jackson sold Walmart (WMT) (jointly held), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 41 days before publication. Filed 19 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 44 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Costco Wholesale (COST), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 13 Oct 2026. That is 26 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 37 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 44 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Procter & Gamble (PG), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 23 Oct 2026. That is 16 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. David J. Taylor sold Procter & Gamble (PG), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 12 Oct 2026. That is 27 days before publication. Filed 15 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Procter & Gamble (PG), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 8 Oct 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern bought Coca Cola (KO) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 69 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TIP)
Companies tied to this story
- TIP Ishares Tr
For “Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised) – Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities,” Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- XLP Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 8 Nov 2026 story “Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised) – Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities.” Reason on file: Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- WMT Walmart
For “Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised) – Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- COST Costco Wholesale
In “Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised) – Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities,” Costco Wholesale (COST) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- PG Procter & Gamble
For “Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised) – Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities,” Procter & Gamble (PG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- KO Coca Cola
Coca Cola (KO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 8 Nov 2026 story “Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised) – Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities.” Reason on file: The Coca-Cola (beverages): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
Ishares Tr (TIP)
The 8 Nov 2026 story “Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised) – Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities” names Ishares Tr (TIP) because of this story.
Ishares Tr (TIP) is on the page because iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP): Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
The price range for Ishares Tr (TIP), and the dates in the story
TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.61 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. WMT traded between 108.59 and 130.92 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 129.23. XLP traded between 80.10 and 82.50 across 7 sessions. The latest close on file is 81.02.
A simple score for Ishares Tr (TIP)
46 out of 100
“Deflation could be coming (and don’t be surprised) – Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.