Geopolitics Alpha

Democrats promise to repeal Trump's tariffs and push for an end to the war with Iran

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • The Democratic leader in the U.S.
  • Exposed: XLI, XRT, ITA, USO, CAT
  • Market reaction: XRT +5.5% on the day (still updating); XLI −1.1% on the day (still updating); USO −8.5% on the day (still updating)

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Democrats promise to repeal Trump's tariffs and push for an end to the war with Iran

The Democratic leader in the U.S. House of Representatives stated that if the party wins the midterm elections, it will push for a bill to repeal Donald Trump's tariffs and end the war with Iran.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-0.3% 30d

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.1% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.

  • CAT Caterpillar-23.2% 30d

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • DE Deere-0.6% 30d

    Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+12.9% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • NKE Nike+6.7% 30d

    Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XLI-1.66%-2.29%base-1.09%after closeafter closeafter close
XRT-2.30%-0.06%base+5.48%after closeafter closeafter close
ITA-4.02%-3.08%base-1.30%after closeafter closeafter close
USO+5.38%+6.75%base-8.53%after closeafter closeafter close
CAT+14.53%-0.17%base-5.67%after closeafter closeafter close
DE-3.81%+1.40%base+1.45%after closeafter closeafter close
WMT-4.79%-1.04%base+4.56%after closeafter closeafter close
NKE-3.40%+0.56%base+6.50%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Democrats promise to repeal Trump's tariffs and push for an end to the war with Iran UA.NEWS

Source: UA.NEWS

How far Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) has moved since 4 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Caterpillar (CAT)that day-5.67%still updating
Caterpillar (CAT)three days earlier-0.17%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)five days earlier+14.53%final price
Deere (DE)that day+1.45%still updating
Deere (DE)three days earlier+1.40%final price
Deere (DE)five days earlier-3.81%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)that day-1.30%still updating
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-3.08%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier-4.02%final price
Nike (NKE)that day+6.50%still updating
Nike (NKE)three days earlier+0.56%final price
Nike (NKE)five days earlier-3.40%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-8.53%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+6.75%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+5.38%final price
Walmart (WMT)that day+4.56%still updating
Walmart (WMT)three days earlier-1.04%final price
Walmart (WMT)five days earlier-4.79%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)that day-1.09%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)three days earlier-2.29%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)five days earlier-1.66%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)that day+5.48%still updating
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)three days earlier-0.06%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)five days earlier-2.30%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

Companies tied to this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Democrats promise to repeal Trump's tariffs and push for an end to the war with Iran,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Democrats promise to repeal Trump's tariffs and push for an end to the war with Iran.” Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    For “Democrats promise to repeal Trump's tariffs and push for an end to the war with Iran,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Democrats promise to repeal Trump's tariffs and push for an end to the war with Iran,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

  • CAT Caterpillar

    For “Democrats promise to repeal Trump's tariffs and push for an end to the war with Iran,” Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • DE Deere

    In “Democrats promise to repeal Trump's tariffs and push for an end to the war with Iran,” Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    For “Democrats promise to repeal Trump's tariffs and push for an end to the war with Iran,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • NKE Nike

    For “Democrats promise to repeal Trump's tariffs and push for an end to the war with Iran,” Nike (NKE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

How defense news reaches Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

On 4 Nov 2026, “Democrats promise to repeal Trump's tariffs and push for an end to the war with Iran” is the story that connects Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) to Defense.

The link for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is this: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Also listed, Spdr Series Trust (XRT): SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

The price range for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI), and the dates in the story

ITA traded between 197.59 and 218.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 216.38. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.73.

How solid the defense case looks

46 out of 100Price not final

“Democrats promise to repeal Trump's tariffs and push for an end to the war with Iran” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.