Diesel costs and inflation emerge as major factors in U.S. midterm elections
Published . Updated .
Market Call
Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.
Get these market calls by email
The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.
Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.
This report is about oil and inflation and prices.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund-5.0% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “diesel” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “diesel” (oil) in this story.
- TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.4% 30d
iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- WMT Walmart+20.2% 30d
Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “diesel” (oil) in this story.
- COST Costco Wholesale+16.7% 30d
Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+5.5% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “diesel” (oil) in this story.
- PG The Procter & Gamble+12.8% 30d
The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | +13.96% | +6.75% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | +13.47% | +8.12% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| TIP | +0.43% | -0.14% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| WMT | -3.29% | -2.27% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XOM | +13.27% | +7.37% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| COST | -5.04% | -4.40% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | +10.62% | +5.78% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| PG | -3.29% | -3.00% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Diesel costs and inflation emerge as major factors in U.S. midterm elections Oil & Gas 360
Source: Oil & Gas 360
Energy
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| COST | three days earlier | -4.40% | final price |
| COST | five days earlier | -5.04% | final price |
| CVX | three days earlier | +5.78% | final price |
| CVX | five days earlier | +10.62% | final price |
| PG | three days earlier | -3.00% | final price |
| PG | five days earlier | -3.29% | final price |
| TIP | three days earlier | -0.14% | final price |
| TIP | five days earlier | +0.43% | final price |
| USO | three days earlier | +6.75% | final price |
| USO | five days earlier | +13.96% | final price |
| WMT | three days earlier | -2.27% | final price |
| WMT | five days earlier | -3.29% | final price |
| XLE | three days earlier | +8.12% | final price |
| XLE | five days earlier | +13.47% | final price |
| XOM | three days earlier | +7.37% | final price |
| XOM | five days earlier | +13.27% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 34 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Jonathan Jackson sold Walmart (WMT) (jointly held), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 38 days before publication. Filed 19 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 41 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 22 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 66 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Costco Wholesale (COST), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 13 Oct 2026. That is 23 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 34 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 41 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 22 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 43 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 64 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. David J. Taylor sold Procter & Gamble (PG), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 12 Oct 2026. That is 24 days before publication. Filed 15 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
How solid the energy case looks
12 out of 100
“Diesel costs and inflation emerge as major factors in U.S. midterm elections” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.