Geopolitics Alpha

Diesel Crisis Deepens While SPR Releases Stay Minimal

Published . Updated .

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Get these market calls by email

The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.

Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.

Diesel Crisis Deepens While SPR Releases Stay Minimal

US Inventories, Exports, Imports, and Refinery Utilization (12 Charts).

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “diesel” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “diesel” (oil) in this story.

  • CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

    VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+2.0% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “diesel” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+9.6% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “diesel” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+11.1% 19d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “diesel” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell+3.5% 11d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “diesel” (oil) in this story.

  • CVI CVR Energy-10.1% 30d

    CVR Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+15.71%+7.84%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE+8.14%+5.85%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CRAKPrices arriving within minutes———after closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XOM+8.08%+6.08%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX+6.66%+5.01%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
COP+9.55%+7.27%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
SHEL+5.73%+3.06%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVIPrices arriving within minutes———after closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Diesel Crisis Deepens While SPR Releases Stay Minimal Anas Alhajji | Substack

Source: Anas Alhajji | Substack

This story

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
COPthree days earlier+7.27%final price
COPfive days earlier+9.55%final price
CVXthree days earlier+5.01%final price
CVXfive days earlier+6.66%final price
SHELthree days earlier+3.06%final price
SHELfive days earlier+5.73%final price
USOthree days earlier+7.84%final price
USOfive days earlier+15.71%final price
XLEthree days earlier+5.85%final price
XLEfive days earlier+8.14%final price
XOMthree days earlier+6.08%final price
XOMfive days earlier+8.08%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid “Diesel Crisis Deepens While SPR Releases Stay Minimal” looks

12 out of 100

“Diesel Crisis Deepens While SPR Releases Stay Minimal” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.