Dow futures rally 500 points as oil drops and traders await inflation data and AI earnings
Published . Updated .
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S&P 500 futures rose 0.7% and Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.4%, while Nvidia stock fell about 5% in premarket trading
Directly affected
- NVDA Nvidia
Named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- QQQ Invesco QQQ
Invesco QQQ: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF
iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- MSFT Microsoft
Microsoft (prepackaged software): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- GOOGL Alphabet
Alphabet (computer programming, data processing, etc.): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- CVX Chevron
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | +8.30% | +7.21% | base | -4.60% | after close | after close | after close |
| USO | +5.62% | -2.06% | base | -3.90% | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | +9.12% | +3.08% | base | +0.56% | after close | after close | after close |
| QQQ | +3.80% | +5.39% | base | +3.80% | after close | after close | after close |
| TIP | +0.09% | -0.20% | base | -0.25% | after close | after close | after close |
| MSFT | -4.44% | +4.80% | base | +3.24% | after close | after close | after close |
| XOM | +8.37% | +2.16% | base | -0.67% | after close | after close | after close |
| GOOGL | -1.99% | +1.50% | base | +1.20% | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | +7.15% | +2.05% | base | -1.18% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Dow futures rally 500 points as oil drops and traders await inflation data and AI earnings Quartz
Source: Quartz
How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 9 Nov 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chevron (CVX) | that day | -1.18% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | three days earlier | +2.05% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | five days earlier | +7.15% | final price |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | that day | +1.20% | final price |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | three days earlier | +1.50% | final price |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | five days earlier | -1.99% | final price |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | that day | +3.24% | final price |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | three days earlier | +4.80% | final price |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | five days earlier | -4.44% | final price |
| NVDA | that day | -4.60% | final price |
| NVDA | three days earlier | +7.21% | final price |
| NVDA | five days earlier | +8.30% | final price |
| Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) | that day | +3.80% | final price |
| Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) | three days earlier | +5.39% | final price |
| Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) | five days earlier | +3.80% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | that day | -0.25% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | three days earlier | -0.20% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | five days earlier | +0.09% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | that day | -3.90% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | -2.06% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | +5.62% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | that day | +0.56% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days earlier | +3.08% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | five days earlier | +9.12% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | that day | -0.67% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days earlier | +2.16% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | five days earlier | +8.37% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Nvidia (NVDA), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 23 Oct 2026. That is 17 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Nvidia (NVDA) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 38 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Cleo Fields bought Nvidia (NVDA), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 1 Oct 2026. That is 39 days before publication. Filed 22 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Shelley M Capito sold Microsoft (MSFT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 21 Oct 2026. That is 19 days before publication. Filed 4 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Microsoft (MSFT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 15 Oct 2026. That is 25 days before publication. Filed 2 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Microsoft (MSFT) (held by a spouse), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 38 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 26 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 70 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Alphabet (GOOGL), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Sep 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 18 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Alphabet (GOOGL) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 66 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Thomas H. Kean Jr sold Alphabet (GOOGL), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 74 days before publication. Filed 12 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 26 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
United States Oil Fund (USO) on one side of this energy story
The side that tends to collect
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
For “Dow futures rally 500 points as oil drops and traders await inflation data and AI earnings,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CVX Chevron
For “Dow futures rally 500 points as oil drops and traders await inflation data and AI earnings,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
No up or down call on file
- USO United States Oil Fund
In “Dow futures rally 500 points as oil drops and traders await inflation data and AI earnings,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “Dow futures rally 500 points as oil drops and traders await inflation data and AI earnings.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- QQQ Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1
For “Dow futures rally 500 points as oil drops and traders await inflation data and AI earnings,” Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Invesco QQQ: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story
- TIP Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “Dow futures rally 500 points as oil drops and traders await inflation data and AI earnings.” Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link
The 9 Nov 2026 story “Dow futures rally 500 points as oil drops and traders await inflation data and AI earnings” names United States Oil Fund (USO) because of Energy.
United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range
QQQ traded between 680.34 and 757.18 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 685.32. USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.
How strong the case is around United States Oil Fund (USO)
46 out of 100
“Dow futures rally 500 points as oil drops and traders await inflation data and AI earnings” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.