Dow rises 200 points as oil falls and chip stocks rally ahead of a Fed decision
Published . Updated .
Chip and AI stocks rose as Anthropic filed for an IPO, and traders see a 90% chance the Fed holds rates on Wednesday
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF-2.5% 30d
VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “chip” (semiconductors) in this story.
- SOXX iShares Semiconductor ETF-3.7% 30d
iShares Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “chip” (semiconductors) in this story.
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- USO United States Oil Fund+8.2% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase-5.3% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America-15.0% 30d
Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- AVGO Broadcom-6.7% 30d
Broadcom (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “chip” (semiconductors) in this story.
- ASML ASML Holding N.V-7.1% 30d
ASML Holding N.V (special industry machinery): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “chip” (semiconductors) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMHNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SOXXNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TLTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| USO | -5.13% | -5.78% | base | -2.94% | after close | after close | after close |
| JPMNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BACNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AVGONo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ASMLNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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Dow rises 200 points as oil falls and chip stocks rally ahead of a Fed decision Quartz
Source: Quartz
Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | that day | -2.94% | still updating |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | -5.78% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | -5.13% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 52 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 52 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 60 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Laurel Lee sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 63 days before publication. Filed 16 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Broadcom (AVGO) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Broadcom (AVGO) (held by a dependent child), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros sold Broadcom (AVGO), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 16 Sep 2026. That is 40 days before publication. Filed 12 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul bought Asml Holding (ASML) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 7 Aug 2026. That is 80 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 87 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
United States Oil Fund (USO) on one side of this energy story
Companies that tend to gain
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
For “Dow rises 200 points as oil falls and chip stocks rally ahead of a Fed decision,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CVX Chevron
Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “Dow rises 200 points as oil falls and chip stocks rally ahead of a Fed decision.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
No up or down call on file
- USO United States Oil Fund
United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “Dow rises 200 points as oil falls and chip stocks rally ahead of a Fed decision.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
For “Dow rises 200 points as oil falls and chip stocks rally ahead of a Fed decision,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- SMH Vaneck Etf Trust
In “Dow rises 200 points as oil falls and chip stocks rally ahead of a Fed decision,” Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “chip” (semiconductors) in this story
- TLT Ishares Tr
In “Dow rises 200 points as oil falls and chip stocks rally ahead of a Fed decision,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link
On 26 Oct 2026, “Dow rises 200 points as oil falls and chip stocks rally ahead of a Fed decision” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Energy.
United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range
SMH traded between 520.59 and 639.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 527.31. USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.55. XLE traded between 60.95 and 69.72 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 69.32.
A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)
46 out of 100Price not final
“Dow rises 200 points as oil falls and chip stocks rally ahead of a Fed decision” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.