Geopolitics Alpha

Drones Hit Bashneft-Novoil Refinery in Ufa

Published . Updated .

Drones Hit Bashneft-Novoil Refinery in Ufa

Drones have struck Ufa’s refining cluster, setting the key L-35 catalytic reformer ablaze at Bashneft-Novoil as Russia claimed 433 UAVs downed.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

    VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF-3.0% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “drones” (defense) in this story.

  • VLO Valero Energy+0.7% 30d

    Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • MPC Marathon Petroleum+13.1% 9d

    Marathon Petroleum (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • PSX Phillips 66+12.1% 30d

    Phillips 66 (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+13.4% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
CRAKNo price data for this ticker———————
XLE-0.51%-2.20%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
ITANo price data for this ticker———————
VLO+6.57%-2.89%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
MPC+5.85%-0.90%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
PSXNo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-1.45%-2.77%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Drones Hit Bashneft-Novoil Refinery in Ufa Kyiv Post

Source: Kyiv Post

Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) since “Drones Hit Bashneft-Novoil Refinery in Ufa,” compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Marathon Petroleum (MPC)three days earlier-0.90%final price
Marathon Petroleum (MPC)five days earlier+5.85%final price
Valero Energy (VLO)three days earlier-2.89%final price
Valero Energy (VLO)five days earlier+6.57%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-2.20%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-0.51%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-2.77%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-1.45%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who collects and who pays in energy

Companies that tend to gain

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    For “Drones Hit Bashneft-Novoil Refinery in Ufa,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 31 Oct 2026 story “Drones Hit Bashneft-Novoil Refinery in Ufa.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • CRAK Vaneck Etf Trust

    For “Drones Hit Bashneft-Novoil Refinery in Ufa,” Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Drones Hit Bashneft-Novoil Refinery in Ufa,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    In “Drones Hit Bashneft-Novoil Refinery in Ufa,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “drones” (defense) in this story

  • VLO Valero Energy

    In “Drones Hit Bashneft-Novoil Refinery in Ufa,” Valero Energy (VLO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story

Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) and the energy link

The 31 Oct 2026 story “Drones Hit Bashneft-Novoil Refinery in Ufa” names Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) because of Energy.

What ties Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) to the headline is this: VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story

Dates and price levels for Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)

ITA traded between 197.59 and 215.76 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 209.72. XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00.

How solid “Drones Hit Bashneft-Novoil Refinery in Ufa” looks

46 out of 100

“Drones Hit Bashneft-Novoil Refinery in Ufa” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 7 linked companies.