ECB Will Probably Have to Raise Rates in December, Nagel Says
Published . Updated .
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This report is about Europe.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF
Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“ecb”).
- BWX SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF
SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Europe
- EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF-1.8% 10d
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes Europe
- ASML ASML Holding N.V-0.1% 17d
ASML Holding N.V (special industry machinery) is one of the largest Europe-based companies traded in the US, so news about Europe (“ecb”) reaches its shares.
- HSBC HSBC Holdings-7.7% 17d
HSBC Holdings (savings institution, federally chartered) is one of the largest Europe-based companies traded in the US, so news about Europe (“ecb”) reaches its shares.
- SHEL Shell-2.5% 12d
Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas) is one of the largest Europe-based companies traded in the US, so news about Europe (“ecb”) reaches its shares.
- NVS Novartis AG+1.5% 16d
Novartis AG (pharmaceutical preparations) is one of the largest Europe-based companies traded in the US, so news about Europe (“ecb”) reaches its shares.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | -1.15% | +0.07% | base | -0.41% | after close | after close | after close |
| BWX | -0.05% | -0.07% | base | -0.21% | after close | after close | after close |
| EFA | -0.13% | +0.62% | base | -0.37% | after close | after close | after close |
| ASML | +7.22% | +9.85% | base | +2.46% | after close | after close | after close |
| HSBC | +0.10% | +0.79% | base | -1.48% | after close | after close | after close |
| SHEL | -0.17% | +2.59% | base | -0.59% | after close | after close | after close |
| NVS | -2.88% | -0.25% | base | -1.03% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
ECB Will Probably Have to Raise Rates in December, Nagel Says Bloomberg.com
Source: Bloomberg
This story
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | that day | +2.46% | still updating |
| ASML | three days earlier | +9.85% | final price |
| ASML | five days earlier | +7.22% | final price |
| BWX | that day | -0.21% | still updating |
| BWX | three days earlier | -0.07% | final price |
| BWX | five days earlier | -0.05% | final price |
| EFA | that day | -0.37% | still updating |
| EFA | three days earlier | +0.62% | final price |
| EFA | five days earlier | -0.13% | final price |
| HSBC | that day | -1.48% | still updating |
| HSBC | three days earlier | +0.79% | final price |
| HSBC | five days earlier | +0.10% | final price |
| NVS | that day | -1.03% | still updating |
| NVS | three days earlier | -0.25% | final price |
| NVS | five days earlier | -2.88% | final price |
| SHEL | that day | -0.59% | still updating |
| SHEL | three days earlier | +2.59% | final price |
| SHEL | five days earlier | -0.17% | final price |
| VGK | that day | -0.41% | still updating |
| VGK | three days earlier | +0.07% | final price |
| VGK | five days earlier | -1.15% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman sold EFA (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 55 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Asml Holding (ASML) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Oct 2026. That is 11 days before publication. Filed 28 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul bought Asml Holding (ASML) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 7 Aug 2026. That is 88 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Novartis Ag (NVS), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 68 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
This story
12 out of 100Price not final
“ECB Will Probably Have to Raise Rates in December, Nagel Says” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources. The price is not final yet.