Geopolitics Alpha

Egypt, Iraq, Jordan Discuss New Oil Export Routes Through Red Sea

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Egypt, Iraq, Jordan Discuss New Oil Export Routes Through Red Sea

Egypt, Iraq, and Jordan have discussed establishing new export routes for Iraqi crude oil and petroleum products via the Red Sea and Mediterranean Sea, as Baghdad seeks to diversify its oil transport infrastructure and expand regional energy cooperation.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks shipping freight. Linked by “red sea” (container shipping) in this story.

  • AFK VanEck Africa Index ETF

    VanEck Africa Index ETF holds stocks listed in Africa, which this story is about (“egypt”).

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+10.6% 15d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+15.7% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+4.8% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell-2.5% 12d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+4.37%+7.30%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE+1.44%+2.16%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWET-1.54%+2.86%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
AFK+2.14%+2.55%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XOM+0.06%+1.89%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX+0.19%+1.58%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
COP+0.74%+2.12%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
SHEL-0.17%+2.59%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

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Egypt, Iraq, Jordan Discuss New Oil Export Routes Through Red Sea Egypt Oil & Gas

Source: Egypt Oil & Gas

How United States Oil Fund (USO) moved after the last 16 energy shocks

United States Oil Fund (USO) the next day, across 16 earlier stories: average -3.51%, largest gain -3.49%, largest drop -3.69%, from 13 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day-3.51%-3.49%-3.69%13
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later-0.84%-0.79%-1.37%12
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day-1.52%-1.51%-1.57%16
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later-0.87%-0.87%-0.87%13
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)the next day+0.12%+0.12%+0.12%14
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days later+4.59%+4.59%+4.59%14

The price since 3 Nov 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Vaneck Etf Trust (AFK)three days earlier+2.55%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (AFK)five days earlier+2.14%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+2.86%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier+2.12%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier+0.74%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+1.58%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+0.19%final price
SHELthree days earlier+2.59%final price
SHELfive days earlier-0.17%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+7.30%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+4.37%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+2.16%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+1.44%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+1.89%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+0.06%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How busy Red Sea has been lately

Red Sea

Geopolitics Alpha has 48 stories about Red Sea from the past 7 days and 217 stories from the past 30. That is about its usual pace over the past month. “Egypt, Iraq, Jordan Discuss New Oil Export Routes Through Red Sea” is tagged to Red Sea.

Who gains and who pays if Red Sea stays in the story

Companies tied to this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Egypt, Iraq, Jordan Discuss New Oil Export Routes Through Red Sea,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Egypt, Iraq, Jordan Discuss New Oil Export Routes Through Red Sea.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    For “Egypt, Iraq, Jordan Discuss New Oil Export Routes Through Red Sea,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks shipping freight. Linked by “red sea” (container shipping) in this story

  • AFK Vaneck Etf Trust

    In “Egypt, Iraq, Jordan Discuss New Oil Export Routes Through Red Sea,” Vaneck Etf Trust (AFK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: VanEck Africa Index ETF holds stocks listed in Africa, which this story is about (“egypt”)

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Egypt, Iraq, Jordan Discuss New Oil Export Routes Through Red Sea.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    In “Egypt, Iraq, Jordan Discuss New Oil Export Routes Through Red Sea,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping Services

    In “Egypt, Iraq, Jordan Discuss New Oil Export Routes Through Red Sea,” ZIM Integrated Shipping Services (ZIM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ZIM Integrated Shipping Services (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): shipping lines' rates jump when routes or ports are disrupted. Linked by “red sea” (container shipping) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    In “Egypt, Iraq, Jordan Discuss New Oil Export Routes Through Red Sea,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

From Red Sea to United States Oil Fund (USO)

The 3 Nov 2026 story “Egypt, Iraq, Jordan Discuss New Oil Export Routes Through Red Sea” names United States Oil Fund (USO) because of Red Sea.

The link for United States Oil Fund (USO) is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.83. XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00.

How solid the energy case looks

46 out of 100

“Egypt, Iraq, Jordan Discuss New Oil Export Routes Through Red Sea” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.