Geopolitics Alpha

EIA: global refinery inputs fell sharply in 2Q26 before modest recovery

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) has reported on global crude oil refinery inputs across second and third quarters 2026.
  • Exposed: CRAK, XLE, VLO, MPC, PSX
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

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EIA: global refinery inputs fell sharply in 2Q26 before modest recovery

The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) has reported on global crude oil refinery inputs across second and third quarters 2026.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

    VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • VLO Valero Energy+3.1% 30d

    Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • MPC Marathon Petroleum+8.7% 11d

    Marathon Petroleum (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • PSX Phillips 66+7.9% 30d

    Phillips 66 (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+2.0% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+9.6% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
CRAK+2.29%+2.54%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE+2.64%+4.95%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
USONo price data for this ticker———————
VLO+0.27%+3.25%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
MPC+3.01%+3.95%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
PSX+0.52%+3.89%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XOM+2.57%+5.49%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVXNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

EIA: global refinery inputs fell sharply in 2Q26 before modest recovery Hydrocarbon Engineering

Source: Hydrocarbon Engineering

The price since 4 Nov 2026: Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)three days earlier+2.54%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)five days earlier+2.29%final price
Marathon Petroleum (MPC)three days earlier+3.95%final price
Marathon Petroleum (MPC)five days earlier+3.01%final price
Phillips 66 (PSX)three days earlier+3.89%final price
Phillips 66 (PSX)five days earlier+0.52%final price
Valero Energy (VLO)three days earlier+3.25%final price
Valero Energy (VLO)five days earlier+0.27%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+4.95%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+2.64%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+5.49%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+2.57%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) on one side of this energy story

Companies tied to this story

  • CRAK Vaneck Etf Trust

    In “EIA: global refinery inputs fell sharply in 2Q26 before modest recovery,” Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “EIA: global refinery inputs fell sharply in 2Q26 before modest recovery,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story

  • VLO Valero Energy

    In “EIA: global refinery inputs fell sharply in 2Q26 before modest recovery,” Valero Energy (VLO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story

  • MPC Marathon Petroleum

    In “EIA: global refinery inputs fell sharply in 2Q26 before modest recovery,” Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Marathon Petroleum (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story

  • PSX Phillips 66

    In “EIA: global refinery inputs fell sharply in 2Q26 before modest recovery,” Phillips 66 (PSX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Phillips 66 (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “EIA: global refinery inputs fell sharply in 2Q26 before modest recovery,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story

Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) and the energy link

The 4 Nov 2026 story “EIA: global refinery inputs fell sharply in 2Q26 before modest recovery” names Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) because of Energy.

Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) is on the page because VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story

What this energy story puts on the calendar

VLO traded between 377.49 and 461.55 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 387.67. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

What the saved facts support for Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)

46 out of 100

“EIA: global refinery inputs fell sharply in 2Q26 before modest recovery” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.