Energy briefs–world oil surplus and putting the squeeze on Iran
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** The world oil market will return to a surplus in the fourth quarter of this year, the International Energy Agency said on Friday, as Middle East exports
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+7.4% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d
Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+4.7% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- OXY Occidental Petroleum+11.8% 17d
Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- COP ConocoPhillips+8.3% 30d
ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- FRO Frontline+0.8% 30d
Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | -2.03% | -2.82% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | -4.57% | -2.42% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BWET | -5.09% | -10.82% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XOM | -3.42% | -2.31% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | -4.09% | -2.99% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| OXY | -5.04% | -2.71% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| COP | -5.48% | -3.22% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| FRO | -5.72% | -2.93% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Energy briefs–world oil surplus and putting the squeeze on Iran Oklahoma Energy Today
Source: Oklahoma Energy Today
Middle East
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| BWET | three days earlier | -10.82% | final price |
| BWET | five days earlier | -5.09% | final price |
| COP | three days earlier | -3.22% | final price |
| COP | five days earlier | -5.48% | final price |
| CVX | three days earlier | -2.99% | final price |
| CVX | five days earlier | -4.09% | final price |
| FRO | three days earlier | -2.93% | final price |
| FRO | five days earlier | -5.72% | final price |
| OXY | three days earlier | -2.71% | final price |
| OXY | five days earlier | -5.04% | final price |
| USO | three days earlier | -2.82% | final price |
| USO | five days earlier | -2.03% | final price |
| XLE | three days earlier | -2.42% | final price |
| XLE | five days earlier | -4.57% | final price |
| XOM | three days earlier | -2.31% | final price |
| XOM | five days earlier | -3.42% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 32 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 76 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 32 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 53 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 74 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Occidental Petroleum (OXY), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 86 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 81 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 83 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Conocophillips (COP), worth $1,000,001 - $5,000,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 86 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Middle East on the map for this story
Geopolitics Alpha has 0 stories about Middle East from the past 7 days and 0 stories from the past 30. “Energy briefs–world oil surplus and putting the squeeze on Iran” is tagged to Middle East.
How solid the energy case looks
12 out of 100
“Energy briefs–world oil surplus and putting the squeeze on Iran” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.