European gas and oil prices rise after speculation over new attacks in Middle East
Published . Updated .
European gas prices are approaching the 100 euros per megawatt-hour mark on Wednesday, for the first time since 2022. The price of a megawatt-hour of natural gas on the Dutch futures market rose more than 3 per cent on Wednesday to 99.50 euros.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+4.8% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.5% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- UNG United States Natural Gas Fund-7.0% 30d
United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “gas” (natural gas) in this story.
- BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF+54.8% 19d
Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “middle east” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF
Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“european”).
- EWN iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF
iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF holds stocks listed in the Netherlands, which this story is about (“dutch”).
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+9.0% 13d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- SHEL Shell+0.1% 13d
Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas, with business in Europe): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | -2.37% | +3.62% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | -0.12% | +1.60% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| UNGNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BWETNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| VGKNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EWNNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XOM | -1.00% | +1.85% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| SHELNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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European gas and oil prices rise after speculation over new attacks in Middle East Belga Share
Source: Belga Share
Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | +3.62% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | -2.37% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days earlier | +1.60% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | five days earlier | -0.12% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days earlier | +1.85% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | five days earlier | -1.00% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 58 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 89 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Middle East, seven days against thirty
Geopolitics Alpha has 0 stories about Middle East from the past 7 days and 0 stories from the past 30. “European gas and oil prices rise after speculation over new attacks in Middle East” is tagged to Middle East.
Who gains and who pays if Middle East stays in the story
Likely winners
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
In “European gas and oil prices rise after speculation over new attacks in Middle East,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
No up or down call on file
- USO United States Oil Fund
In “European gas and oil prices rise after speculation over new attacks in Middle East,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
For “European gas and oil prices rise after speculation over new attacks in Middle East,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- UNG United States Natural Gas Fund
In “European gas and oil prices rise after speculation over new attacks in Middle East,” United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “gas” (natural gas) in this story
- BWET Amplify Commodity Trust
In “European gas and oil prices rise after speculation over new attacks in Middle East,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “middle east” (tanker shipping) in this story
United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link
“European gas and oil prices rise after speculation over new attacks in Middle East” (28 Oct 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Middle East.
United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story
UNG traded between 9.31 and 11.43 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 9.63. USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 163.62. XLE traded between 61.05 and 69.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 68.23.
How solid the energy case looks
54 out of 100
“European gas and oil prices rise after speculation over new attacks in Middle East” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 8 linked companies.