Geopolitics Alpha

European gas prices hit highest since 2022 on tight LNG supply, colder forecasts

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European gas prices hit highest since 2022 on tight LNG supply, colder forecasts

TTF and UK gas hit their highest since December 2022 on Hormuz LNG disruptions and colder weather; Rystad sees Europe's 2026 LNG bill up $12 billion.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund-7.2% 30d

    United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+7.4% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund+8.2% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “gas prices” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF+64.8% 18d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “gas prices” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF

    Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“european”).

  • EWU iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF-2.3% 30d

    iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF holds stocks listed in the UK, which this story is about (“uk”).

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum+3.8% 18d

    Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

  • LNG Cheniere Energy+8.9% 30d

    Cheniere Energy (natural gas distribution): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
UNGNo price data for this ticker———————
XLE-2.19%-1.69%base-0.41%after closeafter closeafter close
USO-5.13%-5.78%base-2.94%after closeafter closeafter close
BWETNo price data for this ticker———————
VGKNo price data for this ticker———————
EWUNo price data for this ticker———————
OXY-2.23%-2.27%base-1.14%after closeafter closeafter close
LNGNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

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European gas prices hit highest since 2022 on tight LNG supply, colder forecasts Pipeline and Gas Journal

Source: Pipeline and Gas Journal

How United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) moved across the last 13 energy stories

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day+1.28%+1.88%-0.41%13
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later+1.48%+2.40%-0.96%13
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day+1.81%+5.29%-0.66%13
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later+1.53%+4.59%+0.46%13

Price since this story was published: United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
OXYthat day-1.14%still updating
OXYthree days earlier-2.27%final price
OXYfive days earlier-2.23%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-2.94%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-5.78%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-5.13%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-0.41%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-1.69%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-2.19%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

The Strait of Hormuz count beside this story

Strait of Hormuz

Geopolitics Alpha has 119 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 295 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “European gas prices hit highest since 2022 on tight LNG supply, colder forecasts” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.

Who collects and who pays in energy

Companies carried with this story

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund

    For “European gas prices hit highest since 2022 on tight LNG supply, colder forecasts,” United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “European gas prices hit highest since 2022 on tight LNG supply, colder forecasts,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “European gas prices hit highest since 2022 on tight LNG supply, colder forecasts,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “gas prices” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “European gas prices hit highest since 2022 on tight LNG supply, colder forecasts.” Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “gas prices” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • VGK Vanguard Intl Equity Index F

    In “European gas prices hit highest since 2022 on tight LNG supply, colder forecasts,” Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“european”)

  • LNG Cheniere Energy

    For “European gas prices hit highest since 2022 on tight LNG supply, colder forecasts,” Cheniere Energy (LNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Cheniere Energy (natural gas distribution): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • EQT Eqt

    Eqt (EQT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “European gas prices hit highest since 2022 on tight LNG supply, colder forecasts.” Reason on file: Eqt (crude petroleum and natural gas): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • KMI Kinder Morgan

    In “European gas prices hit highest since 2022 on tight LNG supply, colder forecasts,” Kinder Morgan (KMI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Kinder Morgan (natural gas transmission): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

From Strait of Hormuz to United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)

The 26 Oct 2026 story “European gas prices hit highest since 2022 on tight LNG supply, colder forecasts” names United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) because of Strait of Hormuz.

For United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG), the reason on file says United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

Dates in the story, and the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) price range

UNG traded between 9.52 and 11.43 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 9.59. USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.55. XLE traded between 60.95 and 69.72 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 69.32.

How solid the energy case looks

46 out of 100Price not final

“European gas prices hit highest since 2022 on tight LNG supply, colder forecasts” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.