Geopolitics Alpha

European shares rise as oil falls on Middle East deal hopes

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ENERGY · MIDDLE EASTEuropean shares rise as oil fallson Middle East deal hopesGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and tanker shipping. Names like XOM typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF

    Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“european”).

  • FRO Frontline+14.2% 30d

    Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight, with business in Europe): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell+0.1% 13d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas, with business in Europe): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+13.4% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BP BP p.l.c+5.4% 15d

    BP p.l.c (petroleum refining, with business in Europe): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO-1.54%-1.29%base-7.16%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE-0.51%-2.20%base-3.91%after closeafter closeafter close
BWETNo price data for this ticker———————
VGKNo price data for this ticker———————
FRONo price data for this ticker———————
SHELNo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-1.45%-2.77%base-4.00%after closeafter closeafter close
BPNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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European shares rise as oil falls on Middle East deal hopes Reuters

Source: Reuters

How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 2 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-7.16%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-1.29%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-3.91%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-2.20%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-0.51%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-4.00%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-2.77%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-1.45%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

The Middle East count beside this story

Middle East

Geopolitics Alpha has 0 stories about Middle East from the past 7 days and 0 stories from the past 30. “European shares rise as oil falls on Middle East deal hopes” is tagged to Middle East.

Who is named in “European shares rise as oil falls on Middle East deal hopes”

The side that tends to collect

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “European shares rise as oil falls on Middle East deal hopes,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 2 Nov 2026 story “European shares rise as oil falls on Middle East deal hopes.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “European shares rise as oil falls on Middle East deal hopes,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    In “European shares rise as oil falls on Middle East deal hopes,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • VGK Vanguard Intl Equity Index F

    Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 2 Nov 2026 story “European shares rise as oil falls on Middle East deal hopes.” Reason on file: Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“european”)

How “European shares rise as oil falls on Middle East deal hopes” reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “European shares rise as oil falls on Middle East deal hopes,” the 2 Nov 2026 Middle East story.

The link for United States Oil Fund (USO) is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.83. XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00.

How solid the energy case looks

46 out of 100

“European shares rise as oil falls on Middle East deal hopes” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.