Geopolitics Alpha

EXCLUSIVE: How a Vitol trader's ties to JD Vance helped land a prized Venezuela oil contract

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: SHEL, FRO, USO, XLE, BWET
  • Market reaction: FRO +4.4% on the day (still updating); SHEL +0.6% on the day (still updating); BWET +4.9% on the day (still updating)

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ENERGYEXCLUSIVE: How a Vitol trader'sties to JD Vance helped land aprized Venezuela oil contractGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and tanker shipping.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • FRO Frontline+1.0% 30d

    Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+3.3% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    DHT Holdings (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+4.8% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+2.78%+4.95%base+2.37%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+2.11%-0.95%base+1.57%after closeafter closeafter close
BWET+35.67%+29.19%base+4.90%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+3.07%+0.89%base+1.25%after closeafter closeafter close
FRO+10.52%+3.52%base+4.39%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX+2.73%+0.67%base+0.78%after closeafter closeafter close
DHT+6.01%-0.62%base+4.90%after closeafter closeafter close
COP+0.96%+0.52%base+1.36%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

EXCLUSIVE: How a Vitol trader's ties to JD Vance helped land a prized Venezuela oil contract Reuters

Source: Reuters

Price since this story was published: Shell (SHEL)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)that day+4.90%still updating
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+29.19%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier+35.67%final price
Conocophillips (COP)that day+1.36%still updating
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier+0.52%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier+0.96%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day+0.78%still updating
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+0.67%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+2.73%final price
DHTthat day+4.90%still updating
DHTthree days earlier-0.62%final price
DHTfive days earlier+6.01%final price
Frontline (FRO)that day+4.39%still updating
Frontline (FRO)three days earlier+3.52%final price
Frontline (FRO)five days earlier+10.52%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+2.37%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+4.95%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+2.78%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day+1.57%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-0.95%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+2.11%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day+1.25%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+0.89%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+3.07%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Shell (SHEL) on one side of this energy story

Companies carried with this story

  • SHEL Shell

    In “EXCLUSIVE: How a Vitol trader's ties to JD Vance helped land a prized Venezuela oil contract,” Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • FRO Frontline

    For “EXCLUSIVE: How a Vitol trader's ties to JD Vance helped land a prized Venezuela oil contract,” Frontline (FRO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “EXCLUSIVE: How a Vitol trader's ties to JD Vance helped land a prized Venezuela oil contract.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “EXCLUSIVE: How a Vitol trader's ties to JD Vance helped land a prized Venezuela oil contract.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    In “EXCLUSIVE: How a Vitol trader's ties to JD Vance helped land a prized Venezuela oil contract,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “EXCLUSIVE: How a Vitol trader's ties to JD Vance helped land a prized Venezuela oil contract.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    In “EXCLUSIVE: How a Vitol trader's ties to JD Vance helped land a prized Venezuela oil contract,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “EXCLUSIVE: How a Vitol trader's ties to JD Vance helped land a prized Venezuela oil contract.” Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

How energy news reaches Shell (SHEL)

On 11 Nov 2026, “EXCLUSIVE: How a Vitol trader's ties to JD Vance helped land a prized Venezuela oil contract” is the story that connects Shell (SHEL) to Energy.

Shell (SHEL) is on the page because Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Frontline (FRO) is here too. Its reason reads: Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

Dates in the story, and the Shell (SHEL) price range

FRO traded between 47.51 and 59.74 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 48.49. SHEL traded between 94.35 and 97.63 across 6 sessions. The latest close on file is 96.51. USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41.

How strong the case is around Shell (SHEL)

46 out of 100Price not final

“EXCLUSIVE: How a Vitol trader's ties to JD Vance helped land a prized Venezuela oil contract” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.