Geopolitics Alpha

Exclusive: Victor Ciardelli on merger of Rate, Compass JVs into top-10 retail lender

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: XLF, KRE, XRT, WMT, AMZN
  • Market reaction: XLF −0.3% on the day (still updating); KRE −0.1% on the day (still updating); COST −1.8% on the day (still updating)

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GEOPOLITICS ALPHAExclusive: Victor Ciardelli onmerger of Rate, Compass JVs intotop-10 retail lenderGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about banks and retail and consumer goods.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR-3.1% 30d

    Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “lender” (banks) in this story.

  • KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF-4.7% 30d

    SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF: it holds banks. Linked by “lender” (banks) in this story.

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds retailers. Linked by “retail” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+16.0% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “retail” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

  • AMZN Amazon.com-3.6% 30d

    Amazon.com (catalog and mail-order houses): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “retail” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase+0.2% 30d

    JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “lender” (banks) in this story.

  • COST Costco Wholesale+15.7% 30d

    Costco Wholesale (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “retail” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

  • BAC Bank of America-11.5% 30d

    Bank of America (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “lender” (banks) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XLF-2.88%-1.05%base-0.29%after closeafter closeafter close
KRE-1.58%-1.17%base-0.05%after closeafter closeafter close
XRT-3.55%-1.68%base-1.00%after closeafter closeafter close
WMT-6.59%-5.06%base-1.83%after closeafter closeafter close
AMZN+3.01%-0.81%base+0.42%after closeafter closeafter close
JPM-1.44%+0.85%base-0.73%after closeafter closeafter close
COST-4.67%-4.31%base-1.83%after closeafter closeafter close
BAC+2.23%+3.18%base+0.60%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Exclusive: Victor Ciardelli on merger of Rate, Compass JVs into top-10 retail lender HousingWire

Source: HousingWire

The price since 3 Nov 2026: Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amazon Com (AMZN)that day+0.42%still updating
Amazon Com (AMZN)three days earlier-0.81%final price
Amazon Com (AMZN)five days earlier+3.01%final price
Bank Of America (BAC)that day+0.60%still updating
Bank Of America (BAC)three days earlier+3.18%final price
Bank Of America (BAC)five days earlier+2.23%final price
Costco Wholesale (COST)that day-1.83%still updating
Costco Wholesale (COST)three days earlier-4.31%final price
Costco Wholesale (COST)five days earlier-4.67%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)that day-0.73%still updating
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)three days earlier+0.85%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)five days earlier-1.44%final price
Spdr Series Trust (KRE)that day-0.05%still updating
Spdr Series Trust (KRE)three days earlier-1.17%final price
Spdr Series Trust (KRE)five days earlier-1.58%final price
Walmart (WMT)that day-1.83%still updating
Walmart (WMT)three days earlier-5.06%final price
Walmart (WMT)five days earlier-6.59%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)that day-0.29%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)three days earlier-1.05%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)five days earlier-2.88%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)that day-1.00%still updating
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)three days earlier-1.68%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)five days earlier-3.55%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • XLF Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Exclusive: Victor Ciardelli on merger of Rate, Compass JVs into top-10 retail lender.” Reason on file: Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “lender” (banks) in this story

  • KRE Spdr Series Trust

    Spdr Series Trust (KRE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Exclusive: Victor Ciardelli on merger of Rate, Compass JVs into top-10 retail lender.” Reason on file: SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF: it holds banks. Linked by “lender” (banks) in this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    In “Exclusive: Victor Ciardelli on merger of Rate, Compass JVs into top-10 retail lender,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds retailers. Linked by “retail” (retail and consumer goods) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    In “Exclusive: Victor Ciardelli on merger of Rate, Compass JVs into top-10 retail lender,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “retail” (retail and consumer goods) in this story

  • AMZN Amazon Com

    Amazon Com (AMZN) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Exclusive: Victor Ciardelli on merger of Rate, Compass JVs into top-10 retail lender.” Reason on file: Amazon.com (catalog and mail-order houses): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “retail” (retail and consumer goods) in this story

  • JPM Jpmorgan Chase

    For “Exclusive: Victor Ciardelli on merger of Rate, Compass JVs into top-10 retail lender,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “lender” (banks) in this story

  • COST Costco Wholesale

    In “Exclusive: Victor Ciardelli on merger of Rate, Compass JVs into top-10 retail lender,” Costco Wholesale (COST) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “retail” (retail and consumer goods) in this story

  • BAC Bank Of America

    In “Exclusive: Victor Ciardelli on merger of Rate, Compass JVs into top-10 retail lender,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “lender” (banks) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)

On 3 Nov 2026, “Exclusive: Victor Ciardelli on merger of Rate, Compass JVs into top-10 retail lender” is the story that connects Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) to this story.

What ties Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) to the headline is this: Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “lender” (banks) in this story

Spdr Series Trust (KRE) is here too. Its reason reads: SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF: it holds banks. Linked by “lender” (banks) in this story

Dates and price levels for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)

KRE traded between 67.80 and 71.93 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.61. XLF traded between 52.82 and 56.03 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 55.07.

How strong the case is around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Exclusive: Victor Ciardelli on merger of Rate, Compass JVs into top-10 retail lender” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.