Geopolitics Alpha

Expedia shares slide as US-Iran war fallout prolongs pressure on travel firms

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: ITA, XAR, XLY, USO, MAR
  • Market reaction: XAR −4.2% on the day (still updating); ITA −3.9% on the day (still updating); XLY −4.2% on the day (still updating)

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DEFENSEExpedia shares slide as US-Iranwar fallout prolongs pressure ontravel firmsEXPEGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about defense and travel.

Directly affected

  • EXPE Expedia Group+11.2% 30d

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.1% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF-4.4% 30d

    SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • XLY Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR+5.7% 30d

    Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR: it holds travel and leisure firms. Linked by “travel” (travel) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund-5.0% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.

  • MAR Marriott International+27.3% 10d

    Marriott International (hotels and motels): travel firms move with tourism demand. Linked by “travel” (travel) in this story.

  • BKNG Booking Holdings+8.6% 30d

    Booking Holdings (transportation services): travel firms move with tourism demand. Linked by “travel” (travel) in this story.

  • RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises+39.4% 30d

    Royal Caribbean Cruises (water transportation): travel firms move with tourism demand. Linked by “travel” (travel) in this story.

  • HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings+22.6% 30d

    Hilton Worldwide Holdings (hotels and motels): travel firms move with tourism demand. Linked by “travel” (travel) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
EXPE-10.58%-5.41%base-14.09%after closeafter closeafter close
ITA+0.76%+0.87%base-3.86%after closeafter closeafter close
XAR+4.35%+2.37%base-4.17%after closeafter closeafter close
XLY-5.00%-3.39%base-4.23%after closeafter closeafter close
USO+15.71%+7.84%base+1.86%after closeafter closeafter close
MAR-5.93%-2.01%base-1.56%after closeafter closeafter close
BKNG-12.03%-10.04%base-2.44%after closeafter closeafter close
RCL-6.93%-3.66%base-3.73%after closeafter closeafter close
HLT-5.24%-3.14%base-2.04%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Price since this story was published: IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Booking Holdings (BKNG)that day-2.44%still updating
Booking Holdings (BKNG)three days earlier-10.04%final price
Booking Holdings (BKNG)five days earlier-12.03%final price
EXPEthat day-14.09%still updating
EXPEthree days earlier-5.41%final price
EXPEfive days earlier-10.58%final price
Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT)that day-2.04%still updating
Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT)three days earlier-3.14%final price
Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT)five days earlier-5.24%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)that day-3.86%still updating
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier+0.87%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier+0.76%final price
Marriott International (MAR)that day-1.56%still updating
Marriott International (MAR)three days earlier-2.01%final price
Marriott International (MAR)five days earlier-5.93%final price
Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL)that day-3.73%still updating
Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL)three days earlier-3.66%final price
Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL)five days earlier-6.93%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+1.86%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+7.84%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+15.71%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XAR)that day-4.17%still updating
Spdr Series Trust (XAR)three days earlier+2.37%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XAR)five days earlier+4.35%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY)that day-4.23%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY)three days earlier-3.39%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY)five days earlier-5.00%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) on one side of this defense story

Companies carried with this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    For “Expedia shares slide as US-Iran war fallout prolongs pressure on travel firms,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • XAR Spdr Series Trust

    In “Expedia shares slide as US-Iran war fallout prolongs pressure on travel firms,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Expedia shares slide as US-Iran war fallout prolongs pressure on travel firms,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR: it holds travel and leisure firms. Linked by “travel” (travel) in this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “Expedia shares slide as US-Iran war fallout prolongs pressure on travel firms.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

  • MAR Marriott International

    For “Expedia shares slide as US-Iran war fallout prolongs pressure on travel firms,” Marriott International (MAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Marriott International (hotels and motels): travel firms move with tourism demand. Linked by “travel” (travel) in this story

  • BKNG Booking Holdings

    For “Expedia shares slide as US-Iran war fallout prolongs pressure on travel firms,” Booking Holdings (BKNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Booking Holdings (transportation services): travel firms move with tourism demand. Linked by “travel” (travel) in this story

  • RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises

    Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “Expedia shares slide as US-Iran war fallout prolongs pressure on travel firms.” Reason on file: Royal Caribbean Cruises (water transportation): travel firms move with tourism demand. Linked by “travel” (travel) in this story

  • HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings

    Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “Expedia shares slide as US-Iran war fallout prolongs pressure on travel firms.” Reason on file: Hilton Worldwide Holdings (hotels and motels): travel firms move with tourism demand. Linked by “travel” (travel) in this story

How defense news reaches IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

On 5 Nov 2026, “Expedia shares slide as US-Iran war fallout prolongs pressure on travel firms” is the story that connects IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) to Defense.

The link for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is this: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is here too. Its reason reads: SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

What this defense story puts on the calendar

ITA traded between 197.59 and 218.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 216.38. XAR traded between 210.89 and 237.55 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 231.04. XLY traded between 110.58 and 119.20 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 118.15.

The defense score for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

100 out of 100Price not final

“Expedia shares slide as US-Iran war fallout prolongs pressure on travel firms” scores 100 out of 100. The score uses 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.