Geopolitics Alpha

Exxon, Chevron profits beat forecasts, refining margins surge during wars

Published . Updated .

DEFENSEExxon, Chevron profits beatforecasts, refining margins surgeduring warsXOMCVXGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about refining.

Directly affected

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+10.9% 15d

    Named in this report.

  • CVX Chevron+10.5% 30d

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

    VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story.

  • VLO Valero Energy+0.5% 30d

    Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story.

  • MPC Marathon Petroleum+10.0% 8d

    Marathon Petroleum (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story.

  • PSX Phillips 66+8.4% 30d

    Phillips 66 (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+7.7% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XOM+0.03%-1.79%base+2.24%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX+0.78%-1.37%base+1.82%after closeafter closeafter close
CRAKNo price data for this ticker———————
XLENo price data for this ticker———————
VLONo price data for this ticker———————
MPCNo price data for this ticker———————
PSXNo price data for this ticker———————
COPNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Exxon, Chevron profits beat forecasts, refining margins surge during wars Reuters

Source: Reuters

Defense

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
CVXthat day+1.82%final price
CVXthree days earlier-1.37%final price
CVXfive days earlier+0.78%final price
XOMthat day+2.24%final price
XOMthree days earlier-1.79%final price
XOMfive days earlier+0.03%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid the defense case looks

12 out of 100

“Exxon, Chevron profits beat forecasts, refining margins surge during wars” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.