Geopolitics Alpha

Exxon Reaps Record Profits From Oil Refining on War-Driven Gasoline, Diesel Spikes

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ENERGYExxon Reaps Record Profits FromOil Refining on War-DrivenGasoline, Diesel SpikesXOMGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and refining. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+10.9% 15d

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+9.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

    VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+0.3% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+10.5% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+7.7% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BP BP p.l.c+5.1% 16d

    BP p.l.c (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell+0.1% 13d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XOM+0.03%-1.79%base+1.31%after closeafter closeafter close
USO+0.80%-2.73%base+1.41%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+0.88%-0.71%base+1.41%after closeafter closeafter close
CRAKNo price data for this ticker———————
ITA-5.65%-3.85%base-1.29%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX+0.78%-1.37%base+1.71%after closeafter closeafter close
COPNo price data for this ticker———————
BP+1.91%-2.85%base+0.08%after closeafter closeafter close
SHELNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Exxon Reaps Record Profits From Oil Refining on War-Driven Gasoline, Diesel Spikes Bloomberg.com

Source: Bloomberg

United States Oil Fund (USO) compared with energy stocks (XLE) since 30 Oct 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Bp (BP)that day+0.08%still updating
Bp (BP)three days earlier-2.85%final price
Bp (BP)five days earlier+1.91%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day+1.71%still updating
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier-1.37%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+0.78%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)that day-1.29%still updating
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-3.85%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier-5.65%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+1.41%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-2.73%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+0.80%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day+1.41%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-0.71%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+0.88%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day+1.31%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-1.79%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+0.03%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Companies in energy around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Likely winners

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “Exxon Reaps Record Profits From Oil Refining on War-Driven Gasoline, Diesel Spikes.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “Exxon Reaps Record Profits From Oil Refining on War-Driven Gasoline, Diesel Spikes.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Exxon Reaps Record Profits From Oil Refining on War-Driven Gasoline, Diesel Spikes,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “Exxon Reaps Record Profits From Oil Refining on War-Driven Gasoline, Diesel Spikes.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CRAK Vaneck Etf Trust

    For “Exxon Reaps Record Profits From Oil Refining on War-Driven Gasoline, Diesel Spikes,” Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    In “Exxon Reaps Record Profits From Oil Refining on War-Driven Gasoline, Diesel Spikes,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

On 30 Oct 2026, “Exxon Reaps Record Profits From Oil Refining on War-Driven Gasoline, Diesel Spikes” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Energy.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.21. XLE traded between 61.91 and 69.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 68.72.

The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Exxon Reaps Record Profits From Oil Refining on War-Driven Gasoline, Diesel Spikes” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.