Fed Chairman Warsh: There's a stable correlation between oil prices and interest rates set in market
Published . Updated .
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh takes questions from reporters after the FOMC votes to leave rates unchanged.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.9% 30d
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- USO United States Oil Fund+9.3% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase-1.7% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America-11.4% 30d
Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- DHI D.R. Horton+5.1% 30d
D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- SCHW The Charles Schwab
The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+10.9% 15d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLT | -1.71% | -0.37% | base | -0.77% | -0.12% | -0.20% | after close |
| IEF | -0.94% | -0.05% | base | -0.26% | +0.21% | +0.54% | after close |
| USONo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JPM | -0.20% | -1.26% | base | +1.08% | +2.22% | +0.71% | after close |
| BAC | +0.28% | -0.24% | base | +0.41% | +1.20% | -1.08% | after close |
| DHINo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SCHWNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XOM | -1.00% | +1.85% | base | +1.22% | +1.40% | +3.81% | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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Fed Chairman Warsh: There's a stable correlation between oil prices and interest rates set in market CNBC
Source: CNBC
Energy
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAC | that day | +0.41% | final price |
| BAC | the next day | +1.20% | final price |
| BAC | two days later | -1.08% | still updating |
| BAC | three days earlier | -0.24% | final price |
| BAC | five days earlier | +0.28% | final price |
| IEF | that day | -0.26% | final price |
| IEF | the next day | +0.21% | final price |
| IEF | two days later | +0.54% | still updating |
| IEF | three days earlier | -0.05% | final price |
| IEF | five days earlier | -0.94% | final price |
| JPM | that day | +1.08% | final price |
| JPM | the next day | +2.22% | final price |
| JPM | two days later | +0.71% | still updating |
| JPM | three days earlier | -1.26% | final price |
| JPM | five days earlier | -0.20% | final price |
| TLT | that day | -0.77% | final price |
| TLT | the next day | -0.12% | final price |
| TLT | two days later | -0.20% | still updating |
| TLT | three days earlier | -0.37% | final price |
| TLT | five days earlier | -1.71% | final price |
| XOM | that day | +1.22% | final price |
| XOM | the next day | +1.40% | final price |
| XOM | two days later | +3.81% | still updating |
| XOM | three days earlier | +1.85% | final price |
| XOM | five days earlier | -1.00% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman bought IEF (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 49 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 54 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 54 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 49 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Laurel Lee sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 65 days before publication. Filed 16 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Horton D R (DHI), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 72 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 14 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 58 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 89 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
How solid the energy case looks
12 out of 100Price not final
“Fed Chairman Warsh: There's a stable correlation between oil prices and interest rates set in market” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources. The price is not final yet.