Fed’s hawkish rate hold keeps pressure on Bitcoin: Analysts
Published . Updated .
Traders are pricing in a 78% chance of a December rate hike, while analysts say Treasury yields, the US dollar and upcoming inflation data could determine Bitcoin’s next move.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.9% 30d
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust-11.5% 30d
iShares Bitcoin Trust: it follows bitcoin. Linked by “bitcoin” (crypto) in this story.
- TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.5% 30d
iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- COIN Coinbase Global-28.7% 30d
Coinbase Global (finance services): crypto firms' revenue moves with crypto prices and rules. Linked by “bitcoin” (crypto) in this story.
- MSTR Strategy-22.5% 30d
Strategy (finance services): crypto firms' revenue moves with crypto prices and rules. Linked by “bitcoin” (crypto) in this story.
- MARA MARA Holdings-9.9% 8d
MARA Holdings (finance services): crypto firms' revenue moves with crypto prices and rules. Linked by “bitcoin” (crypto) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase-4.3% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLT | +0.89% | +0.83% | base | +0.66% | +1.04% | after close | after close |
| IEF | +0.39% | +0.29% | base | +0.47% | +0.99% | after close | after close |
| IBIT | -0.20% | -2.02% | base | -0.91% | -6.00% | after close | after close |
| TIPNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| COIN | +4.15% | -1.75% | base | -1.02% | -11.79% | after close | after close |
| MSTR | +0.44% | -3.70% | base | -2.49% | -10.12% | after close | after close |
| MARA | -1.36% | -7.07% | base | -2.72% | -8.15% | after close | after close |
| JPMNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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Fed’s hawkish rate hold keeps pressure on Bitcoin: Analysts LCX Exchange
Source: LCX Exchange
This story
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| COIN | that day | -1.02% | final price |
| COIN | the next day | -11.79% | final price |
| COIN | three days earlier | -1.75% | final price |
| COIN | five days earlier | +4.15% | final price |
| IBIT | that day | -0.91% | final price |
| IBIT | the next day | -6.00% | final price |
| IBIT | three days earlier | -2.02% | final price |
| IBIT | five days earlier | -0.20% | final price |
| IEF | that day | +0.47% | final price |
| IEF | the next day | +0.99% | final price |
| IEF | three days earlier | +0.29% | final price |
| IEF | five days earlier | +0.39% | final price |
| MARA | that day | -2.72% | final price |
| MARA | the next day | -8.15% | final price |
| MARA | three days earlier | -7.07% | final price |
| MARA | five days earlier | -1.36% | final price |
| MSTR | that day | -2.49% | final price |
| MSTR | the next day | -10.12% | final price |
| MSTR | three days earlier | -3.70% | final price |
| MSTR | five days earlier | +0.44% | final price |
| TLT | that day | +0.66% | final price |
| TLT | the next day | +1.04% | final price |
| TLT | three days earlier | +0.83% | final price |
| TLT | five days earlier | +0.89% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman bought IEF (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 50 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Coinbase Global (COIN) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 55 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros sold Coinbase Global (COIN), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 18 Aug 2026. That is 72 days before publication. Filed 10 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold Coinbase Global (COIN), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 10 Aug 2026. That is 80 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Strategy (MSTR), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 10 Aug 2026. That is 80 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 55 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 55 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 63 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
How solid “Fed’s hawkish rate hold keeps pressure on Bitcoin: Analysts” looks
12 out of 100
“Fed’s hawkish rate hold keeps pressure on Bitcoin: Analysts” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.