Federal Reserve is likely to hold interest rates steady in October. Here's what that means for consumers
Published . Updated .
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep its overnight rate unchanged at the conclusion of its October meeting this week.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story.
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.9% 30d
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story.
- XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF
SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds retailers. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase-5.3% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America-15.0% 30d
Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story.
- DHI D.R. Horton-4.1% 30d
D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story.
- SCHW The Charles Schwab
The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story.
- WMT Walmart+9.9% 30d
Walmart (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLT | -2.31% | -1.35% | base | +0.34% | after close | after close | after close |
| IEF | -1.06% | -0.90% | base | +0.08% | after close | after close | after close |
| XRTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JPM | +0.58% | +1.08% | base | +0.88% | after close | after close | after close |
| BAC | -0.32% | +0.51% | base | +0.74% | after close | after close | after close |
| DHINo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SCHWNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WMTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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Federal Reserve is likely to hold interest rates steady in October. Here's what that means for consumers CNBC
Source: CNBC
Price since this story was published: Ishares Tr (TLT)
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank Of America (BAC) | that day | +0.74% | still updating |
| Bank Of America (BAC) | three days earlier | +0.51% | final price |
| Bank Of America (BAC) | five days earlier | -0.32% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | that day | +0.08% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | three days earlier | -0.90% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | five days earlier | -1.06% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | that day | +0.88% | still updating |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | three days earlier | +1.08% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | five days earlier | +0.58% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | that day | +0.34% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | three days earlier | -1.35% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | five days earlier | -2.31% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman bought Ishares Tr (IEF) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 52 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 52 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 60 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Laurel Lee sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 63 days before publication. Filed 16 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Horton D R (DHI), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 70 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Jonathan Jackson sold Walmart (WMT) (jointly held), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 28 days before publication. Filed 19 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a dependent child), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 11 Sep 2026. That is 45 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Amazon Com (AMZN) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Aug 2026. That is 59 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Amazon Com (AMZN) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 60 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TLT)
Companies mentioned with this story
- TLT Ishares Tr
In “Federal Reserve is likely to hold interest rates steady in October. Here's what that means for consumers,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
- IEF Ishares Tr
In “Federal Reserve is likely to hold interest rates steady in October. Here's what that means for consumers,” Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
- XRT Spdr Series Trust
In “Federal Reserve is likely to hold interest rates steady in October. Here's what that means for consumers,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds retailers. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story
- JPM Jpmorgan Chase
In “Federal Reserve is likely to hold interest rates steady in October. Here's what that means for consumers,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
- BAC Bank Of America
In “Federal Reserve is likely to hold interest rates steady in October. Here's what that means for consumers,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
- WMT Walmart
Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “Federal Reserve is likely to hold interest rates steady in October. Here's what that means for consumers.” Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story
- AMZN Amazon Com
For “Federal Reserve is likely to hold interest rates steady in October. Here's what that means for consumers,” Amazon Com (AMZN) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Amazon.com (catalog and mail-order houses): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story
- COST Costco Wholesale
In “Federal Reserve is likely to hold interest rates steady in October. Here's what that means for consumers,” Costco Wholesale (COST) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story
Ishares Tr (TLT)
On 26 Oct 2026, “Federal Reserve is likely to hold interest rates steady in October. Here's what that means for consumers” is the story that connects Ishares Tr (TLT) to this story.
The link for Ishares Tr (TLT) is this: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
Ishares Tr (IEF) is here too. Its reason reads: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story
Dates in the story, and the Ishares Tr (TLT) price range
IEF traded between 88.64 and 91.23 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. TLT traded between 76.44 and 81.94 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46. XRT traded between 83.12 and 86.10 across 2 sessions. The latest close on file is 83.23.
A simple score for Ishares Tr (TLT)
46 out of 100Price not final
“Federal Reserve is likely to hold interest rates steady in October. Here's what that means for consumers” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.