Geopolitics Alpha

Fossilflation: how fossil fuel prices drive inflation

Published . Updated .

GEOPOLITICS ALPHAFossilflation: how fossil fuelprices drive inflationGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and inflation and prices.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+2.7% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “fuel prices” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+5.6% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “fuel prices” (oil) in this story.

  • TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.5% 30d

    iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+11.3% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+11.8% 12d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “fuel prices” (oil) in this story.

  • COST Costco Wholesale+11.5% 30d

    Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+6.5% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “fuel prices” (oil) in this story.

  • PG The Procter & Gamble+9.4% 30d

    The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO-3.36%-2.27%base-1.58%after closeafter closeafter close
XLENo price data for this ticker———————
TIPNo price data for this ticker———————
WMTNo price data for this ticker———————
XOMNo price data for this ticker———————
COST-1.08%+1.28%base-1.30%after closeafter closeafter close
CVXNo price data for this ticker———————
PGNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Fossilflation: how fossil fuel prices drive inflation Greenpeace

Source: Greenpeace

The price since 27 Oct 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Costco Wholesale (COST)that day-1.30%final price
Costco Wholesale (COST)three days earlier+1.28%final price
Costco Wholesale (COST)five days earlier-1.08%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-1.58%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-2.27%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-3.36%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who is named in “Fossilflation: how fossil fuel prices drive inflation”

Companies carried with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 27 Oct 2026 story “Fossilflation: how fossil fuel prices drive inflation.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “fuel prices” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Fossilflation: how fossil fuel prices drive inflation,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “fuel prices” (oil) in this story

  • TIP Ishares Tr

    In “Fossilflation: how fossil fuel prices drive inflation,” Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 27 Oct 2026 story “Fossilflation: how fossil fuel prices drive inflation.” Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “Fossilflation: how fossil fuel prices drive inflation,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “fuel prices” (oil) in this story

  • COST Costco Wholesale

    Costco Wholesale (COST) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 27 Oct 2026 story “Fossilflation: how fossil fuel prices drive inflation.” Reason on file: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 27 Oct 2026 story “Fossilflation: how fossil fuel prices drive inflation.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “fuel prices” (oil) in this story

  • PG Procter & Gamble

    For “Fossilflation: how fossil fuel prices drive inflation,” Procter & Gamble (PG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

How “Fossilflation: how fossil fuel prices drive inflation” reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

“Fossilflation: how fossil fuel prices drive inflation” (27 Oct 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through this story.

For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “fuel prices” (oil) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “fuel prices” (oil) in this story

The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story

TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.67 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 166.26. XLE traded between 60.95 and 69.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 69.64.

A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Fossilflation: how fossil fuel prices drive inflation” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.