Geopolitics Alpha

Freight cycles are anything but regular

Published . Updated .

Freight cycles are anything but regular

We call them freight cycles, but the term implies a regularity the data doesn’t support. Since 2000, the domestic transportation market’s turns have looked less like clockwork and more like a series of random shocks

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks shipping freight. Linked by “freight” (container shipping) in this story.

  • IYT iShares U.S. Transportation ETF

    iShares U.S. Transportation ETF: it tracks shipping freight. Linked by “freight” (container shipping) in this story.

  • ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping Services+1.3% 30d

    ZIM Integrated Shipping Services (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): shipping lines' rates jump when routes or ports are disrupted. Linked by “freight” (container shipping) in this story.

  • DAC Danaos

    Danaos (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): shipping lines' rates jump when routes or ports are disrupted. Linked by “freight” (container shipping) in this story.

  • MATX Matson-5.7% 9d

    Matson (water transportation): shipping lines' rates jump when routes or ports are disrupted. Linked by “freight” (container shipping) in this story.

  • KEX Kirby+3.8% 30d

    Kirby (water transportation): shipping lines' rates jump when routes or ports are disrupted. Linked by “freight” (container shipping) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
BWETNo price data for this ticker———————
IYTNo price data for this ticker———————
ZIM+4.03%+4.49%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
DAC+0.47%+0.95%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
MATX+2.55%+2.06%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
KEXNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

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Freight cycles are anything but regular FreightWaves

Source: FreightWaves

The price since 1 Nov 2026: Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Danaos (DAC)three days earlier+0.95%final price
Danaos (DAC)five days earlier+0.47%final price
Matson (MATX)three days earlier+2.06%final price
Matson (MATX)five days earlier+2.55%final price
ZIM Integrated Shipping Services (ZIM)three days earlier+4.49%final price
ZIM Integrated Shipping Services (ZIM)five days earlier+4.03%final price

Companies in shipping around Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    For “Freight cycles are anything but regular,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks shipping freight. Linked by “freight” (container shipping) in this story

  • IYT Ishares Tr

    In “Freight cycles are anything but regular,” Ishares Tr (IYT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Transportation ETF: it tracks shipping freight. Linked by “freight” (container shipping) in this story

  • ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping Services

    In “Freight cycles are anything but regular,” ZIM Integrated Shipping Services (ZIM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ZIM Integrated Shipping Services (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): shipping lines' rates jump when routes or ports are disrupted. Linked by “freight” (container shipping) in this story

  • DAC Danaos

    In “Freight cycles are anything but regular,” Danaos (DAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Danaos (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): shipping lines' rates jump when routes or ports are disrupted. Linked by “freight” (container shipping) in this story

  • GSL Global Ship Lease

    In “Freight cycles are anything but regular,” Global Ship Lease (GSL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Global Ship Lease (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): shipping lines' rates jump when routes or ports are disrupted. Linked by “freight” (container shipping) in this story

  • MATX Matson

    Matson (MATX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “Freight cycles are anything but regular.” Reason on file: Matson (water transportation): shipping lines' rates jump when routes or ports are disrupted. Linked by “freight” (container shipping) in this story

Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) and the shipping link

“Freight cycles are anything but regular” (1 Nov 2026) reaches Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) through Shipping.

For Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET), the reason on file says Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks shipping freight. Linked by “freight” (container shipping) in this story

Also listed, Ishares Tr (IYT): iShares U.S. Transportation ETF: it tracks shipping freight. Linked by “freight” (container shipping) in this story

Dates and price levels for Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. ZIM traded between 28.73 and 30.98 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 29.73.

A simple score for Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)

46 out of 100

“Freight cycles are anything but regular” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.