GDP first quarterly estimate, UK: July to September 2026
Published . Updated .
Covered by 2 outlets: Office for National Statistics, Forex Factory.
Key takeaways
Market Call
Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.
Get these market calls by email
The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.
Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.
First quarterly estimate of gross domestic product (GDP). Contains current and constant price data on the value of UK goods and services.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- EWU iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF-1.0% 13d
iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF holds stocks listed in the UK, which this story is about (“uk”).
- HSBC HSBC Holdings-6.6% 12d
HSBC Holdings (savings institution, federally chartered) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“uk”) reaches its shares.
- LIN Linde+9.9% 30d
Linde (industrial inorganic chemicals) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“uk”) reaches its shares.
- ARM Arm Holdings-28.1% 17d
Arm Holdings (semiconductors and related devices) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“uk”) reaches its shares.
- RIO Rio Tinto Group
Rio Tinto Group (metal mining) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“uk”) reaches its shares.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EWU | +0.13% | +1.05% | base | -0.18% | after close | after close | after close |
| HSBC | -2.35% | +0.02% | base | -1.24% | after close | after close | after close |
| LIN | -1.05% | -1.15% | base | -0.77% | after close | after close | after close |
| ARM | -18.08% | -8.38% | base | -1.75% | after close | after close | after close |
| RIO | -2.14% | +1.66% | base | -2.00% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
GDP first quarterly estimate, UK: July to September 2026 Office for National Statistics
Source: Office for National Statistics
The price since 12 Nov 2026: Ishares Tr (EWU) versus the S&P 500
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arm Holdings (ARM) | that day | -1.75% | final price |
| Arm Holdings (ARM) | three days earlier | -8.38% | final price |
| Arm Holdings (ARM) | five days earlier | -18.08% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (EWU) | that day | -0.18% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (EWU) | three days earlier | +1.05% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (EWU) | five days earlier | +0.13% | final price |
| Hsbc Holdings (HSBC) | that day | -1.24% | final price |
| Hsbc Holdings (HSBC) | three days earlier | +0.02% | final price |
| Hsbc Holdings (HSBC) | five days earlier | -2.35% | final price |
| Linde (LIN) | that day | -0.77% | final price |
| Linde (LIN) | three days earlier | -1.15% | final price |
| Linde (LIN) | five days earlier | -1.05% | final price |
| Rio Tinto (RIO) | that day | -2.00% | final price |
| Rio Tinto (RIO) | three days earlier | +1.66% | final price |
| Rio Tinto (RIO) | five days earlier | -2.14% | final price |
Congressional trades in Ishares Tr (EWU) around 12 Nov 2026
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Linde (LIN) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 48 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Linde (LIN) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Sep 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Linde (LIN) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 69 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (EWU)
Companies carried with this story
- EWU Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (EWU) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “GDP first quarterly estimate, UK: July to September 2026.” Reason on file: iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF holds stocks listed in the UK, which this story is about (“uk”)
- HSBC Hsbc Holdings
In “GDP first quarterly estimate, UK: July to September 2026,” Hsbc Holdings (HSBC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: HSBC Holdings (savings institution, federally chartered) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“uk”) reaches its shares
- LIN Linde
Linde (LIN) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “GDP first quarterly estimate, UK: July to September 2026.” Reason on file: Linde (industrial inorganic chemicals) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“uk”) reaches its shares
- ARM Arm Holdings
In “GDP first quarterly estimate, UK: July to September 2026,” Arm Holdings (ARM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Arm Holdings (semiconductors and related devices) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“uk”) reaches its shares
- RIO Rio Tinto
Rio Tinto (RIO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “GDP first quarterly estimate, UK: July to September 2026.” Reason on file: Rio Tinto Group (metal mining) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“uk”) reaches its shares
How “GDP first quarterly estimate, UK: July to September 2026” reaches Ishares Tr (EWU)
“GDP first quarterly estimate, UK: July to September 2026” (12 Nov 2026) reaches Ishares Tr (EWU) through this story.
The link for Ishares Tr (EWU) is this: iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF holds stocks listed in the UK, which this story is about (“uk”)
Also listed, Hsbc Holdings (HSBC): HSBC Holdings (savings institution, federally chartered) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“uk”) reaches its shares
Dates and price levels for Ishares Tr (EWU)
EWU traded between 45.65 and 47.21 across 11 sessions. The latest close on file is 46.84. HSBC traded between 91.56 and 100.75 across 10 sessions. The latest close on file is 94.32. LIN traded between 492.74 and 533.23 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 526.63.
How strong the case is around Ishares Tr (EWU)
47 out of 100
“GDP first quarterly estimate, UK: July to September 2026” scores 47 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 5 linked companies.