Geopolitics Alpha

German study: Trump tariffs fail to curb US trade deficit

Published . Updated .

German study: Trump tariffs fail to curb US trade deficit

US goods trade deficit hits $130 billion in August.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-1.5% 30d

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • EWG iShares MSCI Germany ETF-3.5% 30d

    iShares MSCI Germany ETF holds stocks listed in Germany, which this story is about (“german”).

  • CAT Caterpillar-23.7% 30d

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+14.9% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • DE Deere-0.9% 30d

    Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • NKE Nike+7.1% 30d

    Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XLINo price data for this ticker———————
XRTNo price data for this ticker———————
TLTNo price data for this ticker———————
EWGNo price data for this ticker———————
CATNo price data for this ticker———————
WMTNo price data for this ticker———————
DENo price data for this ticker———————
NKE-2.04%-3.94%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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German study: Trump tariffs fail to curb US trade deficit IDNFinancials

Source: IDNFinancials

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Nike (NKE)three days earlier-3.94%final price
Nike (NKE)five days earlier-2.04%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who is named in “German study: Trump tariffs fail to curb US trade deficit”

Companies mentioned with this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “German study: Trump tariffs fail to curb US trade deficit,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “German study: Trump tariffs fail to curb US trade deficit.” Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    In “German study: Trump tariffs fail to curb US trade deficit,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story

  • EWG Ishares

    In “German study: Trump tariffs fail to curb US trade deficit,” Ishares (EWG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI Germany ETF holds stocks listed in Germany, which this story is about (“german”)

  • CAT Caterpillar

    Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “German study: Trump tariffs fail to curb US trade deficit.” Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • DE Deere

    Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “German study: Trump tariffs fail to curb US trade deficit.” Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “German study: Trump tariffs fail to curb US trade deficit.” Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • NKE Nike

    In “German study: Trump tariffs fail to curb US trade deficit,” Nike (NKE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

How “German study: Trump tariffs fail to curb US trade deficit” reaches Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

“German study: Trump tariffs fail to curb US trade deficit” (1 Nov 2026) reaches Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) through this story.

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is on the page because Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XRT), is listed for a different reason: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Dates in the story, and the Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) price range

TLT traded between 76.44 and 81.94 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 167.42.

How solid “German study: Trump tariffs fail to curb US trade deficit” looks

46 out of 100

“German study: Trump tariffs fail to curb US trade deficit” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.