Geopolitics Alpha

Global Oil Prices Plunge for Second Day; Brent Crude in $103 Range on US-Iran Talks Hopes, Midterm Election Factor

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Global oil prices fell for a second consecutive day as hopes grew for a ceasefire deal between the United States and Iran and Democrats swept both…
  • Exposed: XOM, COP, FRO, USO, XLE
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Get these market calls by email

The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.

Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.

Global Oil Prices Plunge for Second Day; Brent Crude in $103 Range on US-Iran Talks Hopes, Midterm Election Factor

Global oil prices fell for a second consecutive day as hopes grew for a ceasefire deal between the United States and Iran and Democrats swept both…

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.1% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “ceasefire” (defense) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+2.0% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+9.6% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum+10.3% 18d

    Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+11.6% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+5.38%+6.75%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE+2.64%+4.95%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWET+7.18%+11.56%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
ITA-4.02%-3.08%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XOM+2.57%+5.49%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX+1.76%+4.58%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
OXY+4.03%+5.88%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
COP+3.21%+6.66%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Global Oil Prices Plunge for Second Day; Brent Crude in $103 Range on US-Iran Talks Hopes, Midterm Election Factor BigGo Finance

Source: BigGo Finance

The price since 4 Nov 2026: ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+11.56%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier+7.18%final price
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier+6.66%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier+3.21%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+4.58%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+1.76%final price
ITAthree days earlier-3.08%final price
ITAfive days earlier-4.02%final price
Occidental Petroleum (OXY)three days earlier+5.88%final price
Occidental Petroleum (OXY)five days earlier+4.03%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+6.75%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+5.38%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+4.95%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+2.64%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+5.49%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+2.57%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who collects and who pays in energy

Likely winners

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Global Oil Prices Plunge for Second Day; Brent Crude in $103 Range on US-Iran Talks Hopes, Midterm Election Factor.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    For “Global Oil Prices Plunge for Second Day; Brent Crude in $103 Range on US-Iran Talks Hopes, Midterm Election Factor,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    Occidental Petroleum (OXY) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Global Oil Prices Plunge for Second Day; Brent Crude in $103 Range on US-Iran Talks Hopes, Midterm Election Factor.” Reason on file: Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • COP Conocophillips

    Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Global Oil Prices Plunge for Second Day; Brent Crude in $103 Range on US-Iran Talks Hopes, Midterm Election Factor.” Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • FRO Frontline

    In “Global Oil Prices Plunge for Second Day; Brent Crude in $103 Range on US-Iran Talks Hopes, Midterm Election Factor,” Frontline (FRO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Global Oil Prices Plunge for Second Day; Brent Crude in $103 Range on US-Iran Talks Hopes, Midterm Election Factor.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Global Oil Prices Plunge for Second Day; Brent Crude in $103 Range on US-Iran Talks Hopes, Midterm Election Factor,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

How energy news reaches ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)

The 4 Nov 2026 story “Global Oil Prices Plunge for Second Day; Brent Crude in $103 Range on US-Iran Talks Hopes, Midterm Election Factor” names ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) because of Energy.

What ties ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) to the headline is this: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Conocophillips (COP) is here too. Its reason reads: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

The price range for ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), and the dates in the story

COP traded between 127.24 and 152.76 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 147.96. FRO traded between 49.05 and 59.74 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 52.47. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

What the saved facts support for ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)

46 out of 100

“Global Oil Prices Plunge for Second Day; Brent Crude in $103 Range on US-Iran Talks Hopes, Midterm Election Factor” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.