Geopolitics Alpha

Global stocks rebound, dollar and oil fall after Democrats' election victory

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Global markets rally as European shares hit two-month highs, US bond yields fall and currencies from Mexico to Canada gain.
  • Exposed: USO, XLE, XOM, CVX, COP
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

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Global stocks rebound, dollar and oil fall after Democrats' election victory

Global markets rally as European shares hit two-month highs, US bond yields fall and currencies from Mexico to Canada gain.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “bond yields” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund+1.9% 30d

    Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund: it tracks currencies. Linked by “currencies” (currencies) in this story.

  • EWC iShares MSCI Canada ETF+0.9% 30d

    iShares MSCI Canada ETF holds stocks listed in Canada, which this story is about (“canada”).

  • VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF

    Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“european”).

  • FXC Invesco CurrencyShares Canadian Dollar Trust+0.7% 9d

    Invesco CurrencyShares Canadian Dollar Trust follows the Canadian dollar, whose moves this story covers.

  • FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust-0.3% 9d

    Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust follows the euro, whose moves this story covers.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+5.38%+6.75%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE+2.64%+4.95%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
TLT-0.09%+0.94%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
UUP+0.22%+0.02%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
EWC+2.17%+0.68%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
VGK-0.30%-0.05%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
FXC+0.00%+0.00%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
FXE-0.20%-0.15%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Global stocks rebound, dollar and oil fall after Democrats' election victory TRT World

Source: TRT World

Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
EWCthree days earlier+0.68%final price
EWCfive days earlier+2.17%final price
FXCthree days earlier0.00%final price
FXCfive days earlier0.00%final price
FXEthree days earlier-0.15%final price
FXEfive days earlier-0.20%final price
TLTthree days earlier+0.94%final price
TLTfive days earlier-0.09%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+6.75%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+5.38%final price
UUPthree days earlier+0.02%final price
UUPfive days earlier+0.22%final price
VGKthree days earlier-0.05%final price
VGKfive days earlier-0.30%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+4.95%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+2.64%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

United States Oil Fund (USO) on one side of this energy story

Companies tied to this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Global stocks rebound, dollar and oil fall after Democrats' election victory.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Global stocks rebound, dollar and oil fall after Democrats' election victory.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Global stocks rebound, dollar and oil fall after Democrats' election victory.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Global stocks rebound, dollar and oil fall after Democrats' election victory.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Global stocks rebound, dollar and oil fall after Democrats' election victory.” Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • SHEL Shell

    Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Global stocks rebound, dollar and oil fall after Democrats' election victory.” Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

The 4 Nov 2026 story “Global stocks rebound, dollar and oil fall after Democrats' election victory” names United States Oil Fund (USO) because of Energy.

For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story

USO traded between 142.51 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 158.17. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70. XOM traded between 172.72 and 188.47 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 177.51.

What the saved facts support for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Global stocks rebound, dollar and oil fall after Democrats' election victory” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.