Goldman adds another rate hike to Fed outlook after hot inflation data
Published . Updated .
Covered by 8 outlets: The Standard (HK), Kitco, The Lufkin Daily News, Yahoo Finance, SRN News, www.marketscreener.com and 2 more.
Who covered it: Center 2 · Not rated 6. How we rate outlets
Key takeaways
- Goldman Sachs expects a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate increase in March after hotter-than-expected October inflation data prompted it to reverse its forecast that the hiking cycle would end in December.
- Exposed: TLT, IEF, TIP, JPM, BAC
- Market reaction: TLT −0.5% on the day (still updating); IEF −0.3% on the day (still updating); DHI −1.9% on the day (still updating)
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Goldman Sachs expects a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate increase in March after hotter-than-expected October inflation data prompted it to reverse its forecast that the hiking cycle would end in December.
Directly affected
- GS Goldman Sachs Group+0.6% 30d
Named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.2% 19d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.1% 19d
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF+0.4% 19d
iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase+0.1% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America-11.4% 30d
Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- DHI D.R. Horton+6.8% 30d
D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- SCHW The Charles Schwab
The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- WMT Walmart+20.2% 30d
Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | +1.98% | -4.87% | base | +1.42% | after close | after close | after close |
| TLT | +1.08% | +1.27% | base | -0.48% | after close | after close | after close |
| IEF | +0.67% | +0.89% | base | -0.28% | after close | after close | after close |
| TIP | +0.74% | +0.94% | base | -0.05% | after close | after close | after close |
| JPM | +2.98% | -2.21% | base | -0.11% | after close | after close | after close |
| BAC | +1.83% | -2.53% | base | -0.28% | after close | after close | after close |
| DHI | +4.91% | +1.71% | base | -1.88% | after close | after close | after close |
| SCHW | +0.36% | -1.66% | base | -0.84% | after close | after close | after close |
| WMT | +2.97% | -0.02% | base | -1.30% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Goldman adds another rate hike to Fed outlook after hot inflation data The Standard (HK)
Source: The Standard (HK)
Price since this story was published: Ishares Tr (TLT)
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank Of America (BAC) | that day | -0.28% | still updating |
| Bank Of America (BAC) | three days earlier | -2.53% | final price |
| Bank Of America (BAC) | five days earlier | +1.83% | final price |
| Horton D R (DHI) | that day | -1.88% | still updating |
| Horton D R (DHI) | three days earlier | +1.71% | final price |
| Horton D R (DHI) | five days earlier | +4.91% | final price |
| GS | that day | +1.42% | still updating |
| GS | three days earlier | -4.87% | final price |
| GS | five days earlier | +1.98% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | that day | -0.28% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | three days earlier | +0.89% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | five days earlier | +0.67% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | that day | -0.11% | still updating |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | three days earlier | -2.21% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | five days earlier | +2.98% | final price |
| Schwab Charles (SCHW) | that day | -0.84% | still updating |
| Schwab Charles (SCHW) | three days earlier | -1.66% | final price |
| Schwab Charles (SCHW) | five days earlier | +0.36% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | that day | -0.05% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | three days earlier | +0.94% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | five days earlier | +0.74% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | that day | -0.48% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | three days earlier | +1.27% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | five days earlier | +1.08% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | that day | -1.30% | still updating |
| Walmart (WMT) | three days earlier | -0.02% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | five days earlier | +2.97% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar sold Goldman Sachs Group (GS), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Sep 2026. That is 48 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael Rulli bought Goldman Sachs Group (GS), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 3 Sep 2026. That is 69 days before publication. Filed 2 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros bought Goldman Sachs Group (GS), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 77 days before publication. Filed 10 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. John Boozman bought Ishares Tr (IEF) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 63 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 15 Oct 2026. That is 27 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 8 Oct 2026. That is 34 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 68 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 20 Oct 2026. That is 22 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 13 Oct 2026. That is 29 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 63 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Horton D R (DHI), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 86 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a dependent child), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 13 Oct 2026. That is 29 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TLT)
Companies carried with this story
- TLT Ishares Tr
In “Goldman adds another rate hike to Fed outlook after hot inflation data,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- IEF Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “Goldman adds another rate hike to Fed outlook after hot inflation data.” Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- TIP Ishares Tr
In “Goldman adds another rate hike to Fed outlook after hot inflation data,” Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- JPM Jpmorgan Chase
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “Goldman adds another rate hike to Fed outlook after hot inflation data.” Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- BAC Bank Of America
Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “Goldman adds another rate hike to Fed outlook after hot inflation data.” Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- DHI Horton D R
Horton D R (DHI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “Goldman adds another rate hike to Fed outlook after hot inflation data.” Reason on file: D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- SCHW Schwab Charles
For “Goldman adds another rate hike to Fed outlook after hot inflation data,” Schwab Charles (SCHW) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- WMT Walmart
For “Goldman adds another rate hike to Fed outlook after hot inflation data,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
Ishares Tr (TLT)
Ishares Tr (TLT) is the company in “Goldman adds another rate hike to Fed outlook after hot inflation data,” the 11 Nov 2026 this story story.
The link for Ishares Tr (TLT) is this: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
A second company, Ishares Tr (IEF), is listed for a different reason: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
Dates in the story, and the Ishares Tr (TLT) price range
IEF traded between 88.64 and 90.69 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.61 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. TLT traded between 76.44 and 80.56 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.
How strong the case is around Ishares Tr (TLT)
100 out of 100Price not final
“Goldman adds another rate hike to Fed outlook after hot inflation data” scores 100 out of 100. The score uses 8 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.