Goldman Sachs Says Refiners See 'High Probability' Of Sharp Oil Supply Drop As Houthi Attacks Escalate — Crude Oil Prices Hit 6-Month High
Published . Updated .
This report is about Red Sea and Shipping. Names like ZIM and MATX typically gain because container lines are exposed when a shipping lane is disrupted.
Directly affected
- GS Goldman Sachs Group-9.8%
Named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping-2.2%
Container lines are exposed when a shipping lane is disrupted
- MATX Matson-5.7%
Container lines are exposed when a shipping lane is disrupted
- DAC Danaos
Ship owners earn more when vessels are tied up longer
- GSL Global Ship Lease-9.4%
Ship owners earn more when vessels are tied up longer
- SBLK Star Bulk Carriers-7.2%
Dry-bulk carriers move with commodity shipping demand
- GOGL Golden Ocean
Dry-bulk carriers move with commodity shipping demand
- XOM Exxon Mobil+7.9%
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- CVX Chevron+5.9%
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- FRO Frontline+1.4%
Longer voyages raise tanker earnings when ships avoid the Red Sea
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR
Energy prices move when a shipping lane is disrupted
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | +0.00% | +3.31% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| ZIM | -1.23% | -0.66% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| MATX | +1.35% | +2.85% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| DAC | -1.41% | +0.02% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| GSL | -2.52% | -0.04% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| SBLK | -3.12% | -0.53% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| GOGL | +11.63% | +11.63% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XOM | -2.72% | -2.80% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | -3.75% | -2.77% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| FRO | -4.16% | -3.04% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | -2.19% | -1.69% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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Goldman Sachs Says Refiners See 'High Probability' Of Sharp Oil Supply Drop As Houthi Attacks Escalate — Crude Oil Prices Hit 6-Month High Stocktwits
Source: Stocktwits
Red Sea
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| CVX | three days earlier | -2.77% | final price |
| CVX | five days earlier | -3.75% | final price |
| DAC | three days earlier | +0.02% | final price |
| DAC | five days earlier | -1.41% | final price |
| FRO | three days earlier | -3.04% | final price |
| FRO | five days earlier | -4.16% | final price |
| GOGL | three days earlier | +11.63% | final price |
| GOGL | five days earlier | +11.63% | final price |
| GS | three days earlier | +3.31% | final price |
| GS | five days earlier | 0.00% | final price |
| GSL | three days earlier | -0.04% | final price |
| GSL | five days earlier | -2.52% | final price |
| MATX | three days earlier | +2.85% | final price |
| MATX | five days earlier | +1.35% | final price |
| SBLK | three days earlier | -0.53% | final price |
| SBLK | five days earlier | -3.12% | final price |
| XLE | three days earlier | -1.69% | final price |
| XLE | five days earlier | -2.19% | final price |
| XOM | three days earlier | -2.80% | final price |
| XOM | five days earlier | -2.72% | final price |
| ZIM | three days earlier | -0.66% | final price |
| ZIM | five days earlier | -1.23% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar sold Goldman Sachs Group (GS), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Sep 2026. That is 30 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael Rulli bought Goldman Sachs Group (GS), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 3 Sep 2026. That is 51 days before publication. Filed 2 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros bought Goldman Sachs Group (GS), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 59 days before publication. Filed 10 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 54 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 85 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 52 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 85 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
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How solid the energy case looks
12 out of 100
“Goldman Sachs Says Refiners See 'High Probability' Of Sharp Oil Supply Drop As Houthi Attacks Escalate — Crude Oil Prices Hit 6-Month High” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.