Geopolitics Alpha

Heat and drought cost EU 1% of GDP in climate-driven 2026 shocks

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: PHO, CGW, VGK, AWK, XYL
  • Market reaction: PHO −0.2% on the day; ECL −1.2% on the day; XYL −1.0% on the day

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GEOPOLITICS ALPHAHeat and drought cost EU 1% of GDPin climate-driven 2026 shocksGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about water and Europe.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • PHO Invesco Water Resources ETF

    Invesco Water Resources ETF: it holds water utilities and equipment makers. Linked by “drought” (water) in this story.

  • CGW Invesco S&P Global Water Index ETF

    Invesco S&P Global Water Index ETF: it holds water utilities and equipment makers. Linked by “drought” (water) in this story.

  • VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF

    Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“eu”).

  • AWK American Water Works+7.0% 19d

    American Water Works (water supply): water utilities and equipment firms gain when water supply is in focus. Linked by “drought” (water) in this story.

  • XYL Xylem+4.8% 5d

    Xylem (pumps and pumping equipment): water utilities and equipment firms gain when water supply is in focus. Linked by “drought” (water) in this story.

  • ECL Ecolab+11.7% 30d

    Ecolab (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): water utilities and equipment firms gain when water supply is in focus. Linked by “drought” (water) in this story.

  • AWR American States Water

    American States Water (water supply): water utilities and equipment firms gain when water supply is in focus. Linked by “drought” (water) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
PHO-5.13%-3.33%base-0.24%after closeafter closeafter close
CGW-2.28%-2.55%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
VGK-1.15%+0.07%base-0.55%after closeafter closeafter close
AWK-4.33%-3.56%base-0.68%after closeafter closeafter close
XYL-4.56%-6.69%base-1.04%after closeafter closeafter close
ECL-5.54%-2.46%base-1.21%after closeafter closeafter close
AWR-2.62%-3.00%base-0.95%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Heat and drought cost EU 1% of GDP in climate-driven 2026 shocks The Brussels Times

Source: The Brussels Times

Price since this story was published: Invesco Exchange Traded Fd T (PHO)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
American Water Works (AWK)that day-0.68%final price
American Water Works (AWK)three days earlier-3.56%final price
American Water Works (AWK)five days earlier-4.33%final price
American States Water (AWR)that day-0.95%final price
American States Water (AWR)three days earlier-3.00%final price
American States Water (AWR)five days earlier-2.62%final price
Invesco Exch Traded Fd Tr Ii (CGW)three days earlier-2.55%final price
Invesco Exch Traded Fd Tr Ii (CGW)five days earlier-2.28%final price
Ecolab (ECL)that day-1.21%final price
Ecolab (ECL)three days earlier-2.46%final price
Ecolab (ECL)five days earlier-5.54%final price
Invesco Exchange Traded Fd T (PHO)that day-0.24%final price
Invesco Exchange Traded Fd T (PHO)three days earlier-3.33%final price
Invesco Exchange Traded Fd T (PHO)five days earlier-5.13%final price
Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK)that day-0.55%final price
Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK)three days earlier+0.07%final price
Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK)five days earlier-1.15%final price
Xylem (XYL)that day-1.04%final price
Xylem (XYL)three days earlier-6.69%final price
Xylem (XYL)five days earlier-4.56%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Invesco Exchange Traded Fd T (PHO)

Companies carried with this story

  • PHO Invesco Exchange Traded Fd T

    Invesco Exchange Traded Fd T (PHO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Heat and drought cost EU 1% of GDP in climate-driven 2026 shocks.” Reason on file: Invesco Water Resources ETF: it holds water utilities and equipment makers. Linked by “drought” (water) in this story

  • CGW Invesco Exch Traded Fd Tr Ii

    Invesco Exch Traded Fd Tr Ii (CGW) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Heat and drought cost EU 1% of GDP in climate-driven 2026 shocks.” Reason on file: Invesco S&P Global Water Index ETF: it holds water utilities and equipment makers. Linked by “drought” (water) in this story

  • VGK Vanguard Intl Equity Index F

    For “Heat and drought cost EU 1% of GDP in climate-driven 2026 shocks,” Vanguard Intl Equity Index F (VGK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“eu”)

  • AWK American Water Works

    For “Heat and drought cost EU 1% of GDP in climate-driven 2026 shocks,” American Water Works (AWK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: American Water Works (water supply): water utilities and equipment firms gain when water supply is in focus. Linked by “drought” (water) in this story

  • XYL Xylem

    In “Heat and drought cost EU 1% of GDP in climate-driven 2026 shocks,” Xylem (XYL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Xylem (pumps and pumping equipment): water utilities and equipment firms gain when water supply is in focus. Linked by “drought” (water) in this story

  • ECL Ecolab

    In “Heat and drought cost EU 1% of GDP in climate-driven 2026 shocks,” Ecolab (ECL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Ecolab (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): water utilities and equipment firms gain when water supply is in focus. Linked by “drought” (water) in this story

  • AWR American States Water

    American States Water (AWR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Heat and drought cost EU 1% of GDP in climate-driven 2026 shocks.” Reason on file: American States Water (water supply): water utilities and equipment firms gain when water supply is in focus. Linked by “drought” (water) in this story

Invesco Exchange Traded Fd T (PHO)

The 3 Nov 2026 story “Heat and drought cost EU 1% of GDP in climate-driven 2026 shocks” names Invesco Exchange Traded Fd T (PHO) because of this story.

What ties Invesco Exchange Traded Fd T (PHO) to the headline is this: Invesco Water Resources ETF: it holds water utilities and equipment makers. Linked by “drought” (water) in this story

Also listed, Invesco Exch Traded Fd Tr Ii (CGW): Invesco S&P Global Water Index ETF: it holds water utilities and equipment makers. Linked by “drought” (water) in this story

What the saved facts support for Invesco Exchange Traded Fd T (PHO)

46 out of 100

“Heat and drought cost EU 1% of GDP in climate-driven 2026 shocks” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 7 linked companies.