Here’s the Real Reason Gold Price Is Crashing Despite War and Inflation
Published . Updated .
Gold is falling at a time when many of the usual reasons to own it are still present. War remains a risk, inflation is elevated, oil prices are high and financial markets are under pressure. Yet gold has continued to drop, with spot prices recently falling below $3,900. One
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- GLD SPDR Gold Shares-3.3% 30d
SPDR Gold Shares: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.
- GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF-10.4% 30d
VanEck Gold Miners ETF: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.
- USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF-3.0% 30d
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.
- NEM Newmont-13.4% 30d
Newmont (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+13.4% 16d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+15.7% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- AEM Agnico Eagle Mines-7.6% 30d
Agnico Eagle Mines (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLDNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| GDXNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| USONo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ITA | -1.26% | -0.97% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| NEMNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XOM | -1.45% | -2.77% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | -1.54% | -2.69% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| AEMNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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Here’s the Real Reason Gold Price Is Crashing Despite War and Inflation CaptainAltcoin
Source: CaptainAltcoin
How far Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) has moved since 1 Nov 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| CVX | three days earlier | -2.69% | final price |
| CVX | five days earlier | -1.54% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | three days earlier | -0.97% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | five days earlier | -1.26% | final price |
| XOM | three days earlier | -2.77% | final price |
| XOM | five days earlier | -1.45% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Newmont (NEM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 69 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 18 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 18 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 39 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 60 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros bought Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 67 days before publication. Filed 10 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)
Companies mentioned with this story
- GLD Spdr Gold Trust
In “Here’s the Real Reason Gold Price Is Crashing Despite War and Inflation,” Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR Gold Shares: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story
- GDX Vaneck Etf Trust
For “Here’s the Real Reason Gold Price Is Crashing Despite War and Inflation,” Vaneck Etf Trust (GDX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: VanEck Gold Miners ETF: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story
- ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “Here’s the Real Reason Gold Price Is Crashing Despite War and Inflation.” Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story
- TIP Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “Here’s the Real Reason Gold Price Is Crashing Despite War and Inflation.” Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- NEM Newmont
Newmont (NEM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 1 Nov 2026 story “Here’s the Real Reason Gold Price Is Crashing Despite War and Inflation.” Reason on file: Newmont (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story
- AEM Agnico Eagle Mines
In “Here’s the Real Reason Gold Price Is Crashing Despite War and Inflation,” Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Agnico Eagle Mines (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story
- WPM Wheaton Precious Metals
For “Here’s the Real Reason Gold Price Is Crashing Despite War and Inflation,” Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Wheaton Precious Metals (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story
- GOLD Gold.com
In “Here’s the Real Reason Gold Price Is Crashing Despite War and Inflation,” Gold.com (GOLD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Gold.com (jewelry, watches, precious stones and metals): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) and the defense link
The 1 Nov 2026 story “Here’s the Real Reason Gold Price Is Crashing Despite War and Inflation” names Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) because of Defense.
The link for Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) is this: SPDR Gold Shares: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story
Also listed, Vaneck Etf Trust (GDX): VanEck Gold Miners ETF: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story
What this defense story puts on the calendar
GDX traded between 78.92 and 89.70 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 83.13. GLD traded between 373.41 and 400.78 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 379.67. ITA traded between 197.59 and 215.76 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 209.72.
How solid the defense case looks
46 out of 100
“Here’s the Real Reason Gold Price Is Crashing Despite War and Inflation” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.