Here’s when experts think the Bank of England will hike rates next
Published . Updated .
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Financial markets have a date in mind, but some economists aren’t buying it
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- EWU iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF
iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF holds stocks listed in the UK, which this story is about (“england”).
- BWX SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF
SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in the UK
- EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes the UK
- HSBC HSBC Holdings
HSBC Holdings (savings institution, federally chartered) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“england”) reaches its shares.
- LIN Linde
Linde (industrial inorganic chemicals) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“england”) reaches its shares.
- ARM Arm Holdings
Arm Holdings (semiconductors and related devices) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“england”) reaches its shares.
- RIO Rio Tinto Group
Rio Tinto Group (metal mining) is one of the largest the UK-based companies traded in the US, so news about the UK (“england”) reaches its shares.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EWU | -1.10% | +0.39% | base | +0.36% | after close | after close | after close |
| BWX | +1.35% | +1.28% | base | -0.24% | after close | after close | after close |
| EFA | -2.05% | +0.34% | base | -0.00% | after close | after close | after close |
| HSBC | -2.26% | +0.92% | base | +0.53% | after close | after close | after close |
| LIN | -1.42% | -0.16% | base | +0.44% | after close | after close | after close |
| ARM | -12.65% | -9.20% | base | -5.25% | after close | after close | after close |
| RIO | +0.53% | +1.52% | base | -0.26% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Here’s when experts think the Bank of England will hike rates next www.mpamag.com
Source: www.mpamag.com
This story
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | that day | -5.25% | still updating |
| ARM | three days earlier | -9.20% | final price |
| ARM | five days earlier | -12.65% | final price |
| BWX | that day | -0.24% | still updating |
| BWX | three days earlier | +1.28% | final price |
| BWX | five days earlier | +1.35% | final price |
| EFA | that day | -0.00% | still updating |
| EFA | three days earlier | +0.34% | final price |
| EFA | five days earlier | -2.05% | final price |
| EWU | that day | +0.36% | still updating |
| EWU | three days earlier | +0.39% | final price |
| EWU | five days earlier | -1.10% | final price |
| HSBC | that day | +0.53% | still updating |
| HSBC | three days earlier | +0.92% | final price |
| HSBC | five days earlier | -2.26% | final price |
| LIN | that day | +0.44% | still updating |
| LIN | three days earlier | -0.16% | final price |
| LIN | five days earlier | -1.42% | final price |
| RIO | that day | -0.26% | still updating |
| RIO | three days earlier | +1.52% | final price |
| RIO | five days earlier | +0.53% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman sold EFA (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 65 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Linde (LIN) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 49 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Linde (LIN) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Sep 2026. That is 57 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Linde (LIN) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 70 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
This story
12 out of 100Price not final
“Here’s when experts think the Bank of England will hike rates next” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources. The price is not final yet.