Geopolitics Alpha

Hormuz crisis drives shipping costs to more than 30% of barrel value, ADNOC chief executive says

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: USO, XLE, BWET, IYT, XOM
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

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SHIPPING · STRAIT OF HORMUZHormuz crisis drives shippingcosts to more than 30% of barrelvalue, ADNOC chief executive saysGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and container shipping. Names like XOM typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “barrel” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+13.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “barrel” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+12.1% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “barrel” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks shipping freight. Linked by “shipping” (container shipping) in this story.

  • IYT iShares U.S. Transportation ETF

    iShares U.S. Transportation ETF: it holds transport and logistics firms. Linked by “shipping costs” (transport and logistics) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+10.6% 15d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “barrel” (oil) in this story.

  • ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping Services+1.3% 30d

    ZIM Integrated Shipping Services (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): shipping lines' rates jump when routes or ports are disrupted. Linked by “shipping” (container shipping) in this story.

  • MATX Matson-6.5% 8d

    Matson (water transportation): shipping lines' rates jump when routes or ports are disrupted. Linked by “shipping” (container shipping) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+15.7% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “barrel” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+4.37%+7.30%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE+1.44%+2.16%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWET-1.54%+2.86%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
IYT-1.11%-1.81%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XOM+0.06%+1.89%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
ZIM+4.85%+3.12%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
MATX+4.99%+2.59%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX+0.19%+1.58%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Hormuz crisis drives shipping costs to more than 30% of barrel value, ADNOC chief executive says Lloyd's List

Source: Lloyd's List

What happened to United States Oil Fund (USO) the last 14 times Strait of Hormuz was in the news

In the last 14 similar stories, United States Oil Fund (USO) moved an average of -3.41% the next day. The best was +0.26% and the worst was -3.69%, from 14 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day-3.41%+0.26%-3.69%14
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later-1.16%+1.56%-1.37%14
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day-1.52%-1.51%-1.69%14
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later-0.77%+0.52%-0.87%14
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)the next day+0.12%+0.12%+0.12%13
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days later+4.59%+4.59%+4.59%13
Ishares Tr (IYT)the next day+2.47%+2.47%+2.47%1
Ishares Tr (IYT)three days later+1.75%+1.75%+1.75%1

United States Oil Fund (USO) compared with industrial stocks (XLI) since 3 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+2.86%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+1.58%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+0.19%final price
Ishares Tr (IYT)three days earlier-1.81%final price
Ishares Tr (IYT)five days earlier-1.11%final price
Matson (MATX)three days earlier+2.59%final price
Matson (MATX)five days earlier+4.99%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+7.30%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+4.37%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+2.16%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+1.44%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+1.89%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+0.06%final price
ZIM Integrated Shipping Services (ZIM)three days earlier+3.12%final price
ZIM Integrated Shipping Services (ZIM)five days earlier+4.85%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Strait of Hormuz on the map for this story

Strait of Hormuz

Geopolitics Alpha has 187 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 488 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “Hormuz crisis drives shipping costs to more than 30% of barrel value, ADNOC chief executive says” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.

Who gains and who pays if Strait of Hormuz stays in the story

The side that tends to collect

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Hormuz crisis drives shipping costs to more than 30% of barrel value, ADNOC chief executive says.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “barrel” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Hormuz crisis drives shipping costs to more than 30% of barrel value, ADNOC chief executive says,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “barrel” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Hormuz crisis drives shipping costs to more than 30% of barrel value, ADNOC chief executive says.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “barrel” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 3 Nov 2026 story “Hormuz crisis drives shipping costs to more than 30% of barrel value, ADNOC chief executive says.” Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks shipping freight. Linked by “shipping” (container shipping) in this story

  • IYT Ishares Tr

    For “Hormuz crisis drives shipping costs to more than 30% of barrel value, ADNOC chief executive says,” Ishares Tr (IYT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Transportation ETF: it holds transport and logistics firms. Linked by “shipping costs” (transport and logistics) in this story

What Strait of Hormuz means for United States Oil Fund (USO)

United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “Hormuz crisis drives shipping costs to more than 30% of barrel value, ADNOC chief executive says,” the 3 Nov 2026 Strait of Hormuz story.

United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “barrel” (oil) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “barrel” (oil) in this story

What this shipping story puts on the calendar

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 141.82 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.83. XLE traded between 62.06 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.00.

What the saved facts support for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Hormuz crisis drives shipping costs to more than 30% of barrel value, ADNOC chief executive says” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.