Geopolitics Alpha

Hot US Inflation Pulls Gold Lower as Fed Hike Bets Test Miners

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: GLD, GDX, PICK, TLT, NEM
  • Market reaction: GDX −3.9% on the day; GLD −2.8% on the day; NEM −4.9% on the day

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GEOPOLITICS ALPHAHot US Inflation Pulls Gold Loweras Fed Hike Bets Test MinersGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about gold and metals & mining.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • GLD SPDR Gold Shares-3.5% 17d

    SPDR Gold Shares: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.

  • GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF-10.5% 30d

    VanEck Gold Miners ETF: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.

  • PICK iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers ETF-7.2% 30d

    iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers ETF: it holds metals and mining companies. Linked by “miners” (metals & mining) in this story.

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF+0.2% 17d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • NEM Newmont-11.5% 30d

    Newmont (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.

  • AEM Agnico Eagle Mines-7.1% 30d

    Agnico Eagle Mines (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.

  • FCX Freeport-McMoRan-10.3% 30d

    Freeport-McMoRan (metal mining): miners' profits move with metal prices. Linked by “miners” (metals & mining) in this story.

  • BHP BHP Group-6.9% 17d

    BHP Group (metal mining): miners' profits move with metal prices. Linked by “miners” (metals & mining) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
GLD+2.83%+3.93%base-2.83%after closeafter closeafter close
GDX+0.60%+7.30%base-3.93%after closeafter closeafter close
PICK-4.15%+0.86%base-2.09%after closeafter closeafter close
TLT+1.21%+1.27%base-1.49%after closeafter closeafter close
NEM+1.08%+5.62%base-4.91%after closeafter closeafter close
AEM+1.57%+7.96%base-4.10%after closeafter closeafter close
FCX-6.82%+0.32%base-2.70%after closeafter closeafter close
BHP-4.23%+0.99%base-1.86%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Hot US Inflation Pulls Gold Lower as Fed Hike Bets Test Miners Crux Investor

Source: Crux Investor

The price since 12 Nov 2026: Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM)that day-4.10%final price
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM)three days earlier+7.96%final price
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM)five days earlier+1.57%final price
BHP Group (BHP)that day-1.86%final price
BHP Group (BHP)three days earlier+0.99%final price
BHP Group (BHP)five days earlier-4.23%final price
Freeport-Mcmoran (FCX)that day-2.70%final price
Freeport-Mcmoran (FCX)three days earlier+0.32%final price
Freeport-Mcmoran (FCX)five days earlier-6.82%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (GDX)that day-3.93%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (GDX)three days earlier+7.30%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (GDX)five days earlier+0.60%final price
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)that day-2.83%final price
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)three days earlier+3.93%final price
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)five days earlier+2.83%final price
Newmont (NEM)that day-4.91%final price
Newmont (NEM)three days earlier+5.62%final price
Newmont (NEM)five days earlier+1.08%final price
Ishares Msci Global Metals & Mining (PICK)that day-2.09%final price
Ishares Msci Global Metals & Mining (PICK)three days earlier+0.86%final price
Ishares Msci Global Metals & Mining (PICK)five days earlier-4.15%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)that day-1.49%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)three days earlier+1.27%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)five days earlier+1.21%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • GLD Spdr Gold Trust

    Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “Hot US Inflation Pulls Gold Lower as Fed Hike Bets Test Miners.” Reason on file: SPDR Gold Shares: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story

  • GDX Vaneck Etf Trust

    Vaneck Etf Trust (GDX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “Hot US Inflation Pulls Gold Lower as Fed Hike Bets Test Miners.” Reason on file: VanEck Gold Miners ETF: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story

  • PICK Ishares Msci Global Metals & Mining

    Ishares Msci Global Metals & Mining (PICK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “Hot US Inflation Pulls Gold Lower as Fed Hike Bets Test Miners.” Reason on file: iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers ETF: it holds metals and mining companies. Linked by “miners” (metals & mining) in this story

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “Hot US Inflation Pulls Gold Lower as Fed Hike Bets Test Miners.” Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • NEM Newmont

    Newmont (NEM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “Hot US Inflation Pulls Gold Lower as Fed Hike Bets Test Miners.” Reason on file: Newmont (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story

  • AEM Agnico Eagle Mines

    Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “Hot US Inflation Pulls Gold Lower as Fed Hike Bets Test Miners.” Reason on file: Agnico Eagle Mines (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story

  • FCX Freeport-Mcmoran

    Freeport-Mcmoran (FCX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “Hot US Inflation Pulls Gold Lower as Fed Hike Bets Test Miners.” Reason on file: Freeport-McMoRan (metal mining): miners' profits move with metal prices. Linked by “miners” (metals & mining) in this story

  • BHP BHP Group

    In “Hot US Inflation Pulls Gold Lower as Fed Hike Bets Test Miners,” BHP Group (BHP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: BHP Group (metal mining): miners' profits move with metal prices. Linked by “miners” (metals & mining) in this story

Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)

On 12 Nov 2026, “Hot US Inflation Pulls Gold Lower as Fed Hike Bets Test Miners” is the story that connects Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) to this story.

For Spdr Gold Trust (GLD), the reason on file says SPDR Gold Shares: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story

Vaneck Etf Trust (GDX) is here too. Its reason reads: VanEck Gold Miners ETF: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story

Dates in the story, and the Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) price range

GDX traded between 78.92 and 89.70 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 83.13. GLD traded between 373.41 and 385.21 across 15 sessions. The latest close on file is 379.67. PICK traded between 54.38 and 61.57 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 56.72.

How strong the case is around Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)

46 out of 100

“Hot US Inflation Pulls Gold Lower as Fed Hike Bets Test Miners” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.