How low does Nvidia’s stock need to go before it’s a screaming bargain?
Published . Updated .
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Also in Weekend Reads: Other AI stocks, tips for open-enrollment season and advice from the Moneyist.
Directly affected
- NVDA Nvidia
Named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF
VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.
- SOXX iShares Semiconductor ETF
iShares Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.
- QQQ Invesco QQQ
Invesco QQQ: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- ASML ASML Holding N.V
ASML Holding N.V (special industry machinery): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.
- TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.
- MSFT Microsoft
Microsoft (prepackaged software): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- GOOGL Alphabet
Alphabet (computer programming, data processing, etc.): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- AVGO Broadcom
Broadcom (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | +12.42% | +1.63% | base | -3.53% | after close | after close | after close |
| SMH | -7.61% | -3.62% | base | -4.48% | after close | after close | after close |
| SOXX | -11.91% | -5.47% | base | -5.11% | after close | after close | after close |
| QQQ | -4.63% | -1.94% | base | -1.93% | after close | after close | after close |
| ASML | -4.85% | +0.72% | base | -1.56% | after close | after close | after close |
| TSM | -7.50% | -2.24% | base | -2.75% | after close | after close | after close |
| MSFT | +1.45% | +1.95% | base | -0.07% | after close | after close | after close |
| GOOGL | -4.68% | -3.77% | base | -1.52% | after close | after close | after close |
| AVGO | -19.45% | -8.83% | base | -5.85% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Also in Weekend Reads: Other AI stocks, tips for open-enrollment season and advice from the Moneyist.
Source: MarketWatch
This story
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | that day | -1.56% | still updating |
| ASML | three days earlier | +0.72% | final price |
| ASML | five days earlier | -4.85% | final price |
| AVGO | that day | -5.85% | still updating |
| AVGO | three days earlier | -8.83% | final price |
| AVGO | five days earlier | -19.45% | final price |
| GOOGL | that day | -1.52% | still updating |
| GOOGL | three days earlier | -3.77% | final price |
| GOOGL | five days earlier | -4.68% | final price |
| MSFT | that day | -0.07% | still updating |
| MSFT | three days earlier | +1.95% | final price |
| MSFT | five days earlier | +1.45% | final price |
| NVDA | that day | -3.53% | still updating |
| NVDA | three days earlier | +1.63% | final price |
| NVDA | five days earlier | +12.42% | final price |
| QQQ | that day | -1.93% | still updating |
| QQQ | three days earlier | -1.94% | final price |
| QQQ | five days earlier | -4.63% | final price |
| SMH | that day | -4.48% | still updating |
| SMH | three days earlier | -3.62% | final price |
| SMH | five days earlier | -7.61% | final price |
| SOXX | that day | -5.11% | still updating |
| SOXX | three days earlier | -5.47% | final price |
| SOXX | five days earlier | -11.91% | final price |
| TSM | that day | -2.75% | still updating |
| TSM | three days earlier | -2.24% | final price |
| TSM | five days earlier | -7.50% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Nvidia (NVDA), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 23 Oct 2026. That is 21 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros sold Nvidia (NVDA), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 20 Oct 2026. That is 24 days before publication. Filed 10 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Nvidia (NVDA) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 7 Oct 2026. That is 37 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Asml Holding (ASML) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Oct 2026. That is 21 days before publication. Filed 28 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Cleo Fields bought Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Oct 2026. That is 35 days before publication. Filed 22 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros bought Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 22 Sep 2026. That is 52 days before publication. Filed 12 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Aug 2026. That is 80 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Microsoft (MSFT) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Oct 2026. That is 16 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Shelley M Capito sold Microsoft (MSFT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 21 Oct 2026. That is 23 days before publication. Filed 4 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Microsoft (MSFT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 15 Oct 2026. That is 29 days before publication. Filed 2 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Alphabet (GOOGL) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Oct 2026. That is 16 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Alphabet (GOOGL), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Sep 2026. That is 60 days before publication. Filed 18 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
This story
12 out of 100Price not final
“How low does Nvidia’s stock need to go before it’s a screaming bargain?” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources. The price is not final yet.