How Much Does a Hawkish Fed Hurt Gold?
Published . Updated .
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We learned a lot about what’s going on with gold from yesterday’s upside CPI surprise
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- GLD SPDR Gold Shares-3.3% 19d
SPDR Gold Shares: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.
- GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF-11.2% 30d
VanEck Gold Miners ETF: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.2% 19d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF+0.4% 19d
iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “cpi” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- NEM Newmont-13.0% 30d
Newmont (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.
- AEM Agnico Eagle Mines-7.6% 30d
Agnico Eagle Mines (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.
- WPM Wheaton Precious Metals-18.0% 30d
Wheaton Precious Metals (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.
- GOLD Gold.com-13.7% 18d
Gold.com (jewelry, watches, precious stones and metals): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLD | +0.81% | +0.85% | base | -0.60% | after close | after close | after close |
| GDX | -2.24% | +1.24% | base | -0.30% | after close | after close | after close |
| TLT | +1.08% | +1.27% | base | -0.48% | after close | after close | after close |
| TIP | +0.74% | +0.94% | base | -0.05% | after close | after close | after close |
| NEM | -1.46% | +0.83% | base | -0.38% | after close | after close | after close |
| AEM | -3.61% | +0.67% | base | -0.99% | after close | after close | after close |
| WPM | -3.71% | -0.22% | base | +0.02% | after close | after close | after close |
| GOLD | +10.34% | +0.24% | base | -0.21% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
How Much Does a Hawkish Fed Hurt Gold? Robin J Brooks | Substack
Source: Robin J Brooks | Substack
Price since this story was published: Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) | that day | -0.99% | still updating |
| Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) | three days earlier | +0.67% | final price |
| Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) | five days earlier | -3.61% | final price |
| Vaneck Etf Trust (GDX) | that day | -0.30% | still updating |
| Vaneck Etf Trust (GDX) | three days earlier | +1.24% | final price |
| Vaneck Etf Trust (GDX) | five days earlier | -2.24% | final price |
| Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) | that day | -0.60% | still updating |
| Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) | three days earlier | +0.85% | final price |
| Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) | five days earlier | +0.81% | final price |
| GOLD | that day | -0.21% | still updating |
| GOLD | three days earlier | +0.24% | final price |
| GOLD | five days earlier | +10.34% | final price |
| Newmont (NEM) | that day | -0.38% | still updating |
| Newmont (NEM) | three days earlier | +0.83% | final price |
| Newmont (NEM) | five days earlier | -1.46% | final price |
| TIP | that day | -0.05% | still updating |
| TIP | three days earlier | +0.94% | final price |
| TIP | five days earlier | +0.74% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | that day | -0.48% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | three days earlier | +1.27% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | five days earlier | +1.08% | final price |
| Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) | that day | +0.02% | still updating |
| Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) | three days earlier | -0.22% | final price |
| Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) | five days earlier | -3.71% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Newmont (NEM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 79 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros bought Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 77 days before publication. Filed 10 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 15 Oct 2026. That is 27 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 8 Oct 2026. That is 34 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 68 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 20 Oct 2026. That is 22 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 13 Oct 2026. That is 29 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 63 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who is named in “How Much Does a Hawkish Fed Hurt Gold?”
Companies mentioned with this story
- GLD Spdr Gold Trust
In “How Much Does a Hawkish Fed Hurt Gold?,” Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR Gold Shares: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story
- GDX Vaneck Etf Trust
In “How Much Does a Hawkish Fed Hurt Gold?,” Vaneck Etf Trust (GDX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: VanEck Gold Miners ETF: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story
- TLT Ishares Tr
For “How Much Does a Hawkish Fed Hurt Gold?,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- NEM Newmont
For “How Much Does a Hawkish Fed Hurt Gold?,” Newmont (NEM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Newmont (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story
- AEM Agnico Eagle Mines
For “How Much Does a Hawkish Fed Hurt Gold?,” Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Agnico Eagle Mines (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story
- JPM Jpmorgan Chase
In “How Much Does a Hawkish Fed Hurt Gold?,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- WPM Wheaton Precious Metals
In “How Much Does a Hawkish Fed Hurt Gold?,” Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Wheaton Precious Metals (gold and silver ores): gold miners' profits move with the gold price. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story
- BAC Bank Of America
For “How Much Does a Hawkish Fed Hurt Gold?,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
How “How Much Does a Hawkish Fed Hurt Gold?” reaches Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) is the company in “How Much Does a Hawkish Fed Hurt Gold?,” the 11 Nov 2026 this story story.
The link for Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) is this: SPDR Gold Shares: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story
Also listed, Vaneck Etf Trust (GDX): VanEck Gold Miners ETF: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story
Price levels for Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)
GDX traded between 78.92 and 89.70 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 83.13. GLD traded between 373.41 and 385.21 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 379.67. TLT traded between 76.44 and 80.56 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.
A simple score for Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)
46 out of 100Price not final
“How Much Does a Hawkish Fed Hurt Gold?” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.