How the Stock Market Is Reacting to the Midterm Elections
Published . Updated .
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U.S. stock futures and Asian semiconductor shares dropped as investors weighed the future of the artificial intelligence boom.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF-16.4% 30d
VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “semiconductor” (semiconductors) in this story.
- SOXX iShares Semiconductor ETF-20.8% 30d
iShares Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “semiconductor” (semiconductors) in this story.
- QQQ Invesco QQQ-9.8% 30d
Invesco QQQ: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “artificial intelligence” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- AAXJ iShares MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan ETF-7.7% 14d
iShares MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan ETF holds stocks listed in Asia, which this story is about (“asian”).
- TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing-9.5% 30d
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “semiconductor” (semiconductors) in this story.
- ASML ASML Holding N.V-0.8% 16d
ASML Holding N.V (special industry machinery): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “semiconductor” (semiconductors) in this story.
- NVDA Nvidia-8.4% 30d
Nvidia (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “semiconductor” (semiconductors) in this story.
- MSFT Microsoft+4.0% 30d
Microsoft (prepackaged software): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “artificial intelligence” (AI and big tech) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMH | +9.58% | +0.86% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| SOXX | +12.28% | +1.42% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| QQQ | +5.88% | +0.76% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| AAXJ | +3.95% | +0.02% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| TSM | +8.61% | +0.30% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| ASML | +7.25% | +0.88% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| NVDA | +4.25% | -0.87% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| MSFT | +2.19% | +0.22% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
U.S. stock futures and Asian semiconductor shares dropped as investors weighed the future of the artificial intelligence boom.
Source: The New York Times
The price since 4 Nov 2026: Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA) versus the S&P 500
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAXJ | three days earlier | +0.02% | final price |
| AAXJ | five days earlier | +3.95% | final price |
| ASML | three days earlier | +0.88% | final price |
| ASML | five days earlier | +7.25% | final price |
| MSFT | three days earlier | +0.22% | final price |
| MSFT | five days earlier | +2.19% | final price |
| NVDA | three days earlier | -0.87% | final price |
| NVDA | five days earlier | +4.25% | final price |
| Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) | three days earlier | +0.76% | final price |
| Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) | five days earlier | +5.88% | final price |
| SMH | three days earlier | +0.86% | final price |
| SMH | five days earlier | +9.58% | final price |
| SOXX | three days earlier | +1.42% | final price |
| SOXX | five days earlier | +12.28% | final price |
| TSM | three days earlier | +0.30% | final price |
| TSM | five days earlier | +8.61% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Cleo Fields bought Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Oct 2026. That is 26 days before publication. Filed 22 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros bought Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 22 Sep 2026. That is 43 days before publication. Filed 12 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Aug 2026. That is 71 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Asml Holding (ASML) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Oct 2026. That is 12 days before publication. Filed 28 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul bought Asml Holding (ASML) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 7 Aug 2026. That is 89 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Nvidia (NVDA) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Cleo Fields bought Nvidia (NVDA), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 1 Oct 2026. That is 34 days before publication. Filed 22 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Nvidia (NVDA) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 42 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Microsoft (MSFT) (held by a spouse), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Lisa McClain bought Microsoft (MSFT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 30 Sep 2026. That is 35 days before publication. Filed 12 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael Rulli sold Microsoft (MSFT), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 37 days before publication. Filed 2 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Companies in semiconductors around Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA)
Companies carried with this story
- DIA Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust
In “How the Stock Market Is Reacting to the Midterm Elections,” Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “stock market” (the broad US market) in this story
- QQQ Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1
In “How the Stock Market Is Reacting to the Midterm Elections,” Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Invesco QQQ: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “stock market” (the broad US market) in this story
- IWM Ishares Tr
For “How the Stock Market Is Reacting to the Midterm Elections,” Ishares Tr (IWM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares Russell 2000 ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “stock market” (the broad US market) in this story
- RSP Invesco Exchange Traded Fd T
For “How the Stock Market Is Reacting to the Midterm Elections,” Invesco Exchange Traded Fd T (RSP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “stock market” (the broad US market) in this story
- VTI Vanguard Index Fds
Vanguard Index Fds (VTI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “How the Stock Market Is Reacting to the Midterm Elections.” Reason on file: Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “stock market” (the broad US market) in this story
Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA) and the semiconductors link
On 4 Nov 2026, “How the Stock Market Is Reacting to the Midterm Elections” is the story that connects Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA) to Semiconductors.
What ties Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA) to the headline is this: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “stock market” (the broad US market) in this story
Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) is here too. Its reason reads: Invesco QQQ: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “stock market” (the broad US market) in this story
Dates and price levels for Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA)
DIA traded between 504.92 and 522.62 across 18 sessions. The latest close on file is 515.65. IWM traded between 269.88 and 285.25 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 279.20. QQQ traded between 680.34 and 757.18 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 685.32.
A simple score for Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA)
40 out of 100
“How the Stock Market Is Reacting to the Midterm Elections” scores 40 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 5 linked companies.