Geopolitics Alpha

How Worried Should We Be About the Economy? Let’s Look at 2008.

Published . Updated .

How Worried Should We Be About the Economy? Let’s Look at 2008.

It’s not impossible to spot the characteristics of a brewing financial crisis. We can look to 2008 for clues.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase-3.9%

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • BAC Bank of America-18.5%

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • WFC Wells Fargo-6.4%

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • C Citigroup-11.7%

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • GS Goldman Sachs-9.8%

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • MS Morgan Stanley-11.0%

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR-3.9%

    A fund of financial companies

  • KBE SPDR S&P Bank-3.4%

    A fund of bank stocks

  • KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking-4.4%

    Regional banks are sensitive to deposits and rates

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
JPM+0.94%-0.37%base-1.69%after closeafter closeafter close
BAC+0.26%-0.84%base-1.18%after closeafter closeafter close
WFC+1.02%-1.03%base-0.87%after closeafter closeafter close
C+1.42%+0.00%base-1.27%after closeafter closeafter close
GS-1.19%-0.72%base-1.12%after closeafter closeafter close
MS-1.82%-1.93%base-1.50%after closeafter closeafter close
XLF-2.05%-1.68%base-1.44%after closeafter closeafter close
KBE-3.28%-2.22%base+0.05%after closeafter closeafter close
KRE-3.51%-2.40%base-0.55%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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It’s not impossible to spot the characteristics of a brewing financial crisis. We can look to 2008 for clues.

Source: The New York Times

This story

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BACthat day-1.18%still updating
BACthree days earlier-0.84%final price
BACfive days earlier+0.26%final price
Cthat day-1.27%still updating
Cthree days earlier0.00%final price
Cfive days earlier+1.42%final price
GSthat day-1.12%still updating
GSthree days earlier-0.72%final price
GSfive days earlier-1.19%final price
JPMthat day-1.69%still updating
JPMthree days earlier-0.37%final price
JPMfive days earlier+0.94%final price
KBEthat day+0.05%still updating
KBEthree days earlier-2.22%final price
KBEfive days earlier-3.28%final price
KREthat day-0.55%still updating
KREthree days earlier-2.40%final price
KREfive days earlier-3.51%final price
MSthat day-1.50%still updating
MSthree days earlier-1.93%final price
MSfive days earlier-1.82%final price
WFCthat day-0.87%still updating
WFCthree days earlier-1.03%final price
WFCfive days earlier+1.02%final price
XLFthat day-1.44%still updating
XLFthree days earlier-1.68%final price
XLFfive days earlier-2.05%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

This story

12 out of 100Price not final

“How Worried Should We Be About the Economy? Let’s Look at 2008.” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources. The price is not final yet.