If the war winds down, the price of oil will plummet, says Jim Cramer
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'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer talks the latest batch of inflation data and the impact of oil prices on inflation.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.1% 30d
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.
- TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF+0.4% 19d
iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+3.1% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- COP ConocoPhillips+4.0% 30d
ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- SHEL Shell+1.1% 9d
Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | +2.78% | +4.95% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | +2.11% | -0.95% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| ITA | -2.04% | -4.68% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| TIPNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XOM | +3.07% | +0.89% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | +2.73% | +0.67% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| COP | +0.96% | +0.52% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| SHEL | +4.68% | +1.86% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
If the war winds down, the price of oil will plummet, says Jim Cramer CNBC
Source: CNBC
The price since 11 Nov 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conocophillips (COP) | three days earlier | +0.52% | final price |
| Conocophillips (COP) | five days earlier | +0.96% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | three days earlier | +0.67% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | five days earlier | +2.73% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | three days earlier | -4.68% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | five days earlier | -2.04% | final price |
| Shell (SHEL) | three days earlier | +1.86% | final price |
| Shell (SHEL) | five days earlier | +4.68% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | +4.95% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | +2.78% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days earlier | -0.95% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | five days earlier | +2.11% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days earlier | +0.89% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | five days earlier | +3.07% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 28 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 72 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 28 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 49 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 70 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 77 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 79 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Conocophillips (COP), worth $1,000,001 - $5,000,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 82 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Companies in energy around United States Oil Fund (USO)
Companies that tend to gain
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
For “If the war winds down, the price of oil will plummet, says Jim Cramer,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CVX Chevron
For “If the war winds down, the price of oil will plummet, says Jim Cramer,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
No up or down call on file
- USO United States Oil Fund
For “If the war winds down, the price of oil will plummet, says Jim Cramer,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “If the war winds down, the price of oil will plummet, says Jim Cramer.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
In “If the war winds down, the price of oil will plummet, says Jim Cramer,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story
- COP Conocophillips
Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “If the war winds down, the price of oil will plummet, says Jim Cramer.” Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)
United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “If the war winds down, the price of oil will plummet, says Jim Cramer,” the 11 Nov 2026 Energy story.
For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
What this energy story puts on the calendar
ITA traded between 197.59 and 218.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 216.38. USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.
The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)
46 out of 100
“If the war winds down, the price of oil will plummet, says Jim Cramer” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 7 linked companies.