Geopolitics Alpha

India Gulf Oil Imports Surpass Russia for First Time in Iran War

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: USO, XLE, ITA, UNG, INDA
  • Market reaction: USO +3.4% on the day; XLE +1.5% on the day; UNG +2.6% on the day

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ENERGYIndia Gulf Oil Imports SurpassRussia for First Time in Iran WarGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and defense. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+7.5% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.2% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund-13.5% 30d

    United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “russia” (natural gas) in this story.

  • INDA iShares MSCI India ETF-3.8% 11d

    iShares MSCI India ETF holds stocks listed in India, which this story is about (“india”).

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+2.9% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+6.5% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+4.74%+0.82%base+3.43%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE-2.64%-2.21%base+1.50%after closeafter closeafter close
ITA-7.07%-2.20%base-2.16%after closeafter closeafter close
UNG-9.22%-1.27%base+2.65%after closeafter closeafter close
INDA-2.87%-0.29%base-0.02%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM-0.81%-1.14%base+1.84%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX-0.13%-1.13%base+1.51%after closeafter closeafter close
COP-1.64%-2.34%base+1.97%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

India Gulf Oil Imports Surpass Russia for First Time in Iran War Bloomberg.com

Source: Bloomberg

How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 12 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Conocophillips (COP)that day+1.97%final price
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier-2.34%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier-1.64%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day+1.51%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier-1.13%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier-0.13%final price
Ishares Tr (INDA)that day-0.02%final price
Ishares Tr (INDA)three days earlier-0.29%final price
Ishares Tr (INDA)five days earlier-2.87%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)that day-2.16%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-2.20%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier-7.07%final price
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)that day+2.65%final price
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)three days earlier-1.27%final price
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)five days earlier-9.22%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+3.43%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+0.82%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+4.74%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day+1.50%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-2.21%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-2.64%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day+1.84%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-1.14%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-0.81%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

United States Oil Fund (USO) on one side of this energy story

Likely winners

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “India Gulf Oil Imports Surpass Russia for First Time in Iran War,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    For “India Gulf Oil Imports Surpass Russia for First Time in Iran War,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “India Gulf Oil Imports Surpass Russia for First Time in Iran War.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “India Gulf Oil Imports Surpass Russia for First Time in Iran War.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    For “India Gulf Oil Imports Surpass Russia for First Time in Iran War,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund

    For “India Gulf Oil Imports Surpass Russia for First Time in Iran War,” United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “russia” (natural gas) in this story

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

On 12 Nov 2026, “India Gulf Oil Imports Surpass Russia for First Time in Iran War” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Energy.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story

ITA traded between 197.59 and 218.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 216.38. USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

54 out of 100

“India Gulf Oil Imports Surpass Russia for First Time in Iran War” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 8 linked companies.