Inflation is never coming down The Iran war is not the only problem
Published . Updated .
Key takeaways
Market Call
Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.
Get these market calls by email
The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.
Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.
“The midterm elections were a referendum on Trump’s handling of the economy.” (Kent Nishimura/AFP/ Getty)
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.1% 30d
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.
- XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF-4.4% 30d
SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.
- TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.4% 30d
iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.
- WMT Walmart+12.9% 30d
Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- COST Costco Wholesale+12.7% 30d
Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- PG The Procter & Gamble+9.2% 30d
The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- KO The Coca-Cola+7.6% 30d
The Coca-Cola (beverages): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITA | +0.76% | +0.87% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XAR | +4.35% | +2.37% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| TIPNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| USO | +15.71% | +7.84% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| WMTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| COSTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| PGNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| KONo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Inflation is never coming down The Iran war is not the only problem UnHerd
Source: UnHerd
How far IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) has moved since 5 Nov 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | three days earlier | +0.87% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | five days earlier | +0.76% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | +7.84% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | +15.71% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (XAR) | three days earlier | +2.37% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (XAR) | five days earlier | +4.35% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 34 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Jonathan Jackson sold Walmart (WMT) (jointly held), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 38 days before publication. Filed 19 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 41 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Costco Wholesale (COST), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 13 Oct 2026. That is 23 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 34 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 41 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. David J. Taylor sold Procter & Gamble (PG), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 12 Oct 2026. That is 24 days before publication. Filed 15 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Procter & Gamble (PG), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 8 Oct 2026. That is 28 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Procter & Gamble (PG) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 41 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern bought Coca Cola (KO) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 66 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 22 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 66 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) on one side of this defense story
Companies mentioned with this story
- ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
In “Inflation is never coming down The Iran war is not the only problem,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story
- XAR Spdr Series Trust
In “Inflation is never coming down The Iran war is not the only problem,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story
- USO United States Oil Fund
In “Inflation is never coming down The Iran war is not the only problem,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story
- BWET Amplify Commodity Trust
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “Inflation is never coming down The Iran war is not the only problem.” Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
In “Inflation is never coming down The Iran war is not the only problem,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story
- CVX Chevron
For “Inflation is never coming down The Iran war is not the only problem,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story
- COP Conocophillips
For “Inflation is never coming down The Iran war is not the only problem,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story
- SHEL Shell
Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “Inflation is never coming down The Iran war is not the only problem.” Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story
How defense news reaches IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)
The 5 Nov 2026 story “Inflation is never coming down The Iran war is not the only problem” names IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) because of Defense.
What ties IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) to the headline is this: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story
A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XAR), is listed for a different reason: SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story
Dates and price levels for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)
ITA traded between 197.59 and 218.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 216.38. USO traded between 142.51 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 158.17. XAR traded between 210.89 and 237.55 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 231.04.
How strong the case is around IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)
46 out of 100
“Inflation is never coming down The Iran war is not the only problem” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.