Inflation Just Came In Hotter Than Expected. That Is a Warning to Retirees That Kevin Warsh's Fed Is Not Done Raising Rates
Published . Updated .
Key takeaways
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Consumer prices rose 0.4% in October, more than expected, and there is no 12-month rate because of last year's shutdown. Here is what the report does to a retired couple's 3.6% Social Security raise, their IRA withdrawal and their 4% cash, and why it makes Kevin Warsh's December
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-2.8% 30d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.2% 30d
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.3% 30d
iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF
SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds retailers. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase+0.1% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America-11.4% 30d
Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- SCHW The Charles Schwab
The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
- DHI D.R. Horton+8.0% 30d
D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLT | -1.07% | -0.05% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| IEF | -0.68% | +0.21% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| TIP | +0.06% | +0.20% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XRTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JPM | -1.14% | -1.31% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BAC | -1.83% | -1.53% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| SCHW | -3.73% | -0.15% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| DHI | -6.68% | +1.29% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Inflation Just Came In Hotter Than Expected. That Is a Warning to Retirees That Kevin Warsh's Fed Is Not Done Raising Rates 24/7 Wall St.
Source: 24/7 Wall St.
The price since 10 Nov 2026: Ishares Tr (TLT) versus the S&P 500
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank Of America (BAC) | three days earlier | -1.53% | final price |
| Bank Of America (BAC) | five days earlier | -1.83% | final price |
| Horton D R (DHI) | three days earlier | +1.29% | final price |
| Horton D R (DHI) | five days earlier | -6.68% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | three days earlier | +0.21% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | five days earlier | -0.68% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | three days earlier | -1.31% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | five days earlier | -1.14% | final price |
| Schwab Charles (SCHW) | three days earlier | -0.15% | final price |
| Schwab Charles (SCHW) | five days earlier | -3.73% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | three days earlier | +0.20% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | five days earlier | +0.06% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | three days earlier | -0.05% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | five days earlier | -1.07% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman bought Ishares Tr (IEF) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 15 Oct 2026. That is 26 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 8 Oct 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 67 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 20 Oct 2026. That is 21 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 13 Oct 2026. That is 28 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Horton D R (DHI), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 85 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a dependent child), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 13 Oct 2026. That is 28 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 7 Oct 2026. That is 34 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 39 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TLT)
Companies tied to this story
- TLT Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 10 Nov 2026 story “Inflation Just Came In Hotter Than Expected. That Is a Warning to Retirees That Kevin Warsh's Fed Is Not Done Raising Rates.” Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- IEF Ishares Tr
For “Inflation Just Came In Hotter Than Expected. That Is a Warning to Retirees That Kevin Warsh's Fed Is Not Done Raising Rates,” Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- TIP Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 10 Nov 2026 story “Inflation Just Came In Hotter Than Expected. That Is a Warning to Retirees That Kevin Warsh's Fed Is Not Done Raising Rates.” Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- JPM Jpmorgan Chase
For “Inflation Just Came In Hotter Than Expected. That Is a Warning to Retirees That Kevin Warsh's Fed Is Not Done Raising Rates,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- BAC Bank Of America
In “Inflation Just Came In Hotter Than Expected. That Is a Warning to Retirees That Kevin Warsh's Fed Is Not Done Raising Rates,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- DHI Horton D R
In “Inflation Just Came In Hotter Than Expected. That Is a Warning to Retirees That Kevin Warsh's Fed Is Not Done Raising Rates,” Horton D R (DHI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- SCHW Schwab Charles
In “Inflation Just Came In Hotter Than Expected. That Is a Warning to Retirees That Kevin Warsh's Fed Is Not Done Raising Rates,” Schwab Charles (SCHW) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
- WMT Walmart
For “Inflation Just Came In Hotter Than Expected. That Is a Warning to Retirees That Kevin Warsh's Fed Is Not Done Raising Rates,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
Ishares Tr (TLT)
On 10 Nov 2026, “Inflation Just Came In Hotter Than Expected. That Is a Warning to Retirees That Kevin Warsh's Fed Is Not Done Raising Rates” is the story that connects Ishares Tr (TLT) to this story.
The link for Ishares Tr (TLT) is this: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
Also listed, Ishares Tr (IEF): iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story
Dates in the story, and the Ishares Tr (TLT) price range
IEF traded between 88.64 and 90.69 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.61 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. TLT traded between 76.44 and 80.56 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.
What the saved facts support for Ishares Tr (TLT)
46 out of 100
“Inflation Just Came In Hotter Than Expected. That Is a Warning to Retirees That Kevin Warsh's Fed Is Not Done Raising Rates” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.