Geopolitics Alpha

Inflation remained elevated in October, CPI report shows, upping odds of Fed interest rate hike

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Inflation rose at a monthly pace of 0.4%, hotter than economists had forecast and raising expectations that the Federal Reserve will increase interest rates in December.
  • Exposed: PG, TLT, IEF, TIP, JPM
  • Market reaction: TLT −1.6% by the next session (still updating); PG +0.4% on the day (still updating); IEF −1.0% by the next session (still updating)

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Inflation remained elevated in October, CPI report shows, upping odds of Fed interest rate hike

Inflation rose at a monthly pace of 0.4%, hotter than economists had forecast and raising expectations that the Federal Reserve will increase interest rates in December.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.2% 19d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.1% 19d

    iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF+0.4% 19d

    iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase+0.1% 30d

    JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • BAC Bank of America-11.4% 30d

    Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • DHI D.R. Horton+6.8% 30d

    D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • SCHW The Charles Schwab

    The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+20.2% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT-1.07%-0.05%base-1.31%-1.61%after closeafter close
IEF-0.68%+0.21%base-0.83%-1.00%after closeafter close
TIP+0.06%+0.20%base-0.69%-0.73%after closeafter close
JPM-1.14%-1.31%base+0.04%+0.20%after closeafter close
BAC-1.83%-1.53%base+0.24%-0.06%after closeafter close
DHI-6.68%+1.29%base-3.80%-5.29%after closeafter close
SCHW-3.73%-0.15%base+0.33%-0.35%after closeafter close
WMT-0.64%+1.67%base-0.09%-1.00%after closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Inflation remained elevated in October, CPI report shows, upping odds of Fed interest rate hike CBS News

Source: CBS News

Procter & Gamble (PG) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Bank Of America (BAC)that day+0.24%final price
Bank Of America (BAC)the next day-0.06%still updating
Bank Of America (BAC)three days earlier-1.53%final price
Bank Of America (BAC)five days earlier-1.83%final price
DHIthat day-3.80%final price
DHIthe next day-5.29%still updating
DHIthree days earlier+1.29%final price
DHIfive days earlier-6.68%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)that day-0.83%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)the next day-1.00%still updating
Ishares Tr (IEF)three days earlier+0.21%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)five days earlier-0.68%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)that day+0.04%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)the next day+0.20%still updating
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)three days earlier-1.31%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)five days earlier-1.14%final price
SCHWthat day+0.33%final price
SCHWthe next day-0.35%still updating
SCHWthree days earlier-0.15%final price
SCHWfive days earlier-3.73%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)that day-0.69%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)the next day-0.73%still updating
Ishares Tr (TIP)three days earlier+0.20%final price
Ishares Tr (TIP)five days earlier+0.06%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)that day-1.31%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)the next day-1.61%still updating
Ishares Tr (TLT)three days earlier-0.05%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)five days earlier-1.07%final price
Walmart (WMT)that day-0.09%final price
Walmart (WMT)the next day-1.00%still updating
Walmart (WMT)three days earlier+1.67%final price
Walmart (WMT)five days earlier-0.64%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Procter & Gamble (PG)

Companies tied to this story

  • PG Procter & Gamble

    For “Inflation remained elevated in October, CPI report shows, upping odds of Fed interest rate hike,” Procter & Gamble (PG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 10 Nov 2026 story “Inflation remained elevated in October, CPI report shows, upping odds of Fed interest rate hike.” Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • IEF Ishares Tr

    In “Inflation remained elevated in October, CPI report shows, upping odds of Fed interest rate hike,” Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • TIP Ishares Tr

    In “Inflation remained elevated in October, CPI report shows, upping odds of Fed interest rate hike,” Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • JPM Jpmorgan Chase

    For “Inflation remained elevated in October, CPI report shows, upping odds of Fed interest rate hike,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • BAC Bank Of America

    In “Inflation remained elevated in October, CPI report shows, upping odds of Fed interest rate hike,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    In “Inflation remained elevated in October, CPI report shows, upping odds of Fed interest rate hike,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

  • COST Costco Wholesale

    For “Inflation remained elevated in October, CPI report shows, upping odds of Fed interest rate hike,” Costco Wholesale (COST) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

Procter & Gamble (PG)

“Inflation remained elevated in October, CPI report shows, upping odds of Fed interest rate hike” (10 Nov 2026) reaches Procter & Gamble (PG) through this story.

The link for Procter & Gamble (PG) is this: The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story

A second company, Ishares Tr (TLT), is listed for a different reason: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

Dates and price levels for Procter & Gamble (PG)

IEF traded between 88.64 and 90.69 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. PG traded between 154.28 and 170.50 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.62. TLT traded between 76.44 and 80.56 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.

What the saved facts support for Procter & Gamble (PG)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Inflation remained elevated in October, CPI report shows, upping odds of Fed interest rate hike” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.