Inflation’s political poison shows in US polls
Published . Updated .
Key takeaways
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Tariffs and Iran war fuel cost-of-living crisis and erase economic gains
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF-0.1% 30d
iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- XLP Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR-2.8% 14d
Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-0.3% 30d
Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.1% 30d
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.
- WMT Walmart+12.9% 30d
Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- CAT Caterpillar-23.2% 30d
Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- COST Costco Wholesale+12.7% 30d
Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story.
- DE Deere-0.6% 30d
Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIP | +0.16% | +0.57% | base | -0.05% | after close | after close | after close |
| XLP | -2.35% | +0.52% | base | +3.13% | after close | after close | after close |
| XLI | -1.66% | -2.29% | base | -1.56% | after close | after close | after close |
| ITA | -4.02% | -3.08% | base | -1.16% | after close | after close | after close |
| WMT | -4.79% | -1.04% | base | +2.15% | after close | after close | after close |
| CAT | +14.53% | -0.17% | base | -4.86% | after close | after close | after close |
| COST | -3.61% | -0.67% | base | +1.75% | after close | after close | after close |
| DE | -3.81% | +1.40% | base | +0.12% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Inflation’s political poison shows in US polls Business Day
Source: Business Day
Ishares Tr (TIP) since “Inflation’s political poison shows in US polls,” compared with the market
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAT | that day | -4.86% | still updating |
| CAT | three days earlier | -0.17% | final price |
| CAT | five days earlier | +14.53% | final price |
| Costco Wholesale (COST) | that day | +1.75% | still updating |
| Costco Wholesale (COST) | three days earlier | -0.67% | final price |
| Costco Wholesale (COST) | five days earlier | -3.61% | final price |
| DE | that day | +0.12% | still updating |
| DE | three days earlier | +1.40% | final price |
| DE | five days earlier | -3.81% | final price |
| ITA | that day | -1.16% | still updating |
| ITA | three days earlier | -3.08% | final price |
| ITA | five days earlier | -4.02% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | that day | -0.05% | still updating |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | three days earlier | +0.57% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TIP) | five days earlier | +0.16% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | that day | +2.15% | still updating |
| Walmart (WMT) | three days earlier | -1.04% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | five days earlier | -4.79% | final price |
| XLI | that day | -1.56% | still updating |
| XLI | three days earlier | -2.29% | final price |
| XLI | five days earlier | -1.66% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) | that day | +3.13% | still updating |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) | three days earlier | +0.52% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) | five days earlier | -2.35% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Jonathan Jackson sold Walmart (WMT) (jointly held), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 37 days before publication. Filed 19 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 40 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Lisa McClain bought Caterpillar (CAT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 37 days before publication. Filed 12 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Costco Wholesale (COST), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 13 Oct 2026. That is 22 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Costco Wholesale (COST) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 40 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. David J. Taylor sold Procter & Gamble (PG), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 12 Oct 2026. That is 23 days before publication. Filed 15 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Procter & Gamble (PG), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 8 Oct 2026. That is 27 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Procter & Gamble (PG) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 40 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern bought Coca Cola (KO) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 65 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TIP)
Companies carried with this story
- TIP Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (TIP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Inflation’s political poison shows in US polls.” Reason on file: iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- XLP Select Sector Spdr Tr
In “Inflation’s political poison shows in US polls,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- WMT Walmart
For “Inflation’s political poison shows in US polls,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- COST Costco Wholesale
For “Inflation’s political poison shows in US polls,” Costco Wholesale (COST) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Costco Wholesale (variety stores): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- PG Procter & Gamble
Procter & Gamble (PG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Inflation’s political poison shows in US polls.” Reason on file: The Procter & Gamble (soap, detergents, cleang preparations, perfumes, cosmetics): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
- KO Coca Cola
For “Inflation’s political poison shows in US polls,” Coca Cola (KO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Coca-Cola (beverages): big consumer-goods sellers feel price rises in costs and shopper demand. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
How “Inflation’s political poison shows in US polls” reaches Ishares Tr (TIP)
The 4 Nov 2026 story “Inflation’s political poison shows in US polls” names Ishares Tr (TIP) because of this story.
Ishares Tr (TIP) is on the page because iShares TIPS Bond ETF: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLP) is here too. Its reason reads: Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR: it is a common hedge when prices rise. Linked by “inflation” (inflation and prices) in this story
Dates and price levels for Ishares Tr (TIP)
TIP traded between 103.77 and 105.67 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 105.27. WMT traded between 107.44 and 127.91 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 124.81. XLP traded between 80.10 and 83.07 across 11 sessions. The latest close on file is 81.02.
A simple score for Ishares Tr (TIP)
46 out of 100Price not final
“Inflation’s political poison shows in US polls” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies. The price is not final yet.