Interest rates expected to rise for first time in over three years
Published . Updated .
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Most analysts are predicting an increase from 3.75% to 4%, the first increase in more than three years.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-2.8% 30d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.3% 30d
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase+0.1% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America-11.4% 30d
Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.
- DHI D.R. Horton+3.4% 30d
D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.
- SCHW The Charles Schwab
The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLT | -0.35% | -0.05% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| IEF | -0.44% | -0.16% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| JPM | -2.45% | -3.27% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BAC | -0.95% | -4.00% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| DHI | -6.73% | -2.62% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| SCHW | -4.17% | -4.96% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Most analysts are predicting an increase from 3.75% to 4%, the first increase in more than three years.
Source: BBC
This story
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAC | three days earlier | -4.00% | final price |
| BAC | five days earlier | -0.95% | final price |
| DHI | three days earlier | -2.62% | final price |
| DHI | five days earlier | -6.73% | final price |
| IEF | three days earlier | -0.16% | final price |
| IEF | five days earlier | -0.44% | final price |
| JPM | three days earlier | -3.27% | final price |
| JPM | five days earlier | -2.45% | final price |
| SCHW | three days earlier | -4.96% | final price |
| SCHW | five days earlier | -4.17% | final price |
| TLT | three days earlier | -0.05% | final price |
| TLT | five days earlier | -0.35% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman bought IEF (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 57 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 62 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 70 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 57 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Laurel Lee sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 73 days before publication. Filed 16 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Horton D R (DHI), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 80 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
This story
12 out of 100
“Interest rates expected to rise for first time in over three years” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.