Geopolitics Alpha

Iran Says Draft US Deal Includes Oil Sanctions Waiver, Nuclear Limits and Asset Release

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ENERGYIran Says Draft US Deal IncludesOil Sanctions Waiver, NuclearLimits and Asset ReleaseGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and tanker shipping. Names like XOM and OXY typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+9.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+0.3% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “iran” (defense) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+10.9% 15d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • FRO Frontline+10.0% 30d

    Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+10.5% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    DHT Holdings (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO-1.54%-1.29%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE-0.51%-2.20%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWETNo price data for this ticker———————
ITANo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-1.45%-2.77%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
FRO-2.94%-2.39%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX-1.54%-2.69%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
DHT-1.70%-2.24%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Iran Says Draft US Deal Includes Oil Sanctions Waiver, Nuclear Limits and Asset Release EnergyNow.com

Source: EnergyNow.com

The price since 31 Oct 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier-2.69%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier-1.54%final price
DHTthree days earlier-2.24%final price
DHTfive days earlier-1.70%final price
FROthree days earlier-2.39%final price
FROfive days earlier-2.94%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-1.29%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-2.20%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-0.51%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-2.77%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-1.45%final price

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

The side that tends to collect

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “Iran Says Draft US Deal Includes Oil Sanctions Waiver, Nuclear Limits and Asset Release,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    Occidental Petroleum (OXY) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 31 Oct 2026 story “Iran Says Draft US Deal Includes Oil Sanctions Waiver, Nuclear Limits and Asset Release.” Reason on file: Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Companies that tend to pay

  • SLB Slb

    In “Iran Says Draft US Deal Includes Oil Sanctions Waiver, Nuclear Limits and Asset Release,” Slb (SLB) tends to be hurt, medium confidence. Reason on file: Slb N.V (oil and gas field services): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Iran Says Draft US Deal Includes Oil Sanctions Waiver, Nuclear Limits and Asset Release,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Iran Says Draft US Deal Includes Oil Sanctions Waiver, Nuclear Limits and Asset Release,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    For “Iran Says Draft US Deal Includes Oil Sanctions Waiver, Nuclear Limits and Asset Release,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 31 Oct 2026 story “Iran Says Draft US Deal Includes Oil Sanctions Waiver, Nuclear Limits and Asset Release.” Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “iran” (defense) in this story

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

The 31 Oct 2026 story “Iran Says Draft US Deal Includes Oil Sanctions Waiver, Nuclear Limits and Asset Release” names United States Oil Fund (USO) because of Energy.

United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.21. XLE traded between 61.91 and 69.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 68.72.

How solid the energy case looks

46 out of 100

“Iran Says Draft US Deal Includes Oil Sanctions Waiver, Nuclear Limits and Asset Release” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.